Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Townsend v Belinda Bencic

2026-08-07 16:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Townsend (Local)

Predicción 31.93%3.13momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.862%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.15%32.00%31.94%33.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.932.953.0537.04%34.12%33.90%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Belinda Bencic (Visitante)

Predicción 68.07%1.47momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -2.35%
Kelly -7.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.35%68.00%68.06%68.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.22%72.46%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Taylor Townsend (Local): 31.93%; Belinda Bencic (Visitante): 68.07%. Para Taylor Townsend (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.13. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.05, con un valor esperado de -2.63%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.63%E -0.862%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.33%E -2.35%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 22:05
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.63%E -0.862%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:10
DraftKings🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -2.95%E -0.969%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -5.38%E -3.87%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 01:05
GTbets🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -3.59%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.38%E -3.87%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:10
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 20:55
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 01:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.38%E -3.87%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:55
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:55
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:00
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:00
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:00
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:55
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:00
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:00
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:00
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.42%E -5.45%K -20.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 20:00
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.42%E -5.45%K -20.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 20:15
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.22%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.42%E -5.45%K -20.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 20:15
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.86%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.33%E -2.35%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 20:55
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.38%E -3.87%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.82%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.10%E -6.00%K -23.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 21:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.14%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.14%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:50
NordicBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -6.14%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 20:55
Betsson🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -6.14%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 21:00
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:05
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:10
Fliff🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.74%E -4.92%K -18.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 20:55
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.42%E -5.45%K -20.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 21:00
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.42%E -2.56%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.42%E -5.45%K -20.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 20:10
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.06%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 22:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.06%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.42%E -5.45%K -20.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.37%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 20:50
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.37%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 20:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.33%E -2.35%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 00:00
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.33%E -2.35%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.33%E -2.35%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 20:50
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.33%E -2.35%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 20:50
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 01:03
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 21:50
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.70%E -3.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 01:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -8.10%E -6.00%K -23.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 20:53
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -10.61%E -3.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -8.10%E -6.00%K -23.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 20:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -13.80%E -5.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -8.78%E -6.55%K -25.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-05 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -13.80%E -5.11%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -9.46%E -7.11%K -28.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-05 20:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%5.5%2026-08-06 01:05
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%12.2%2026-08-05 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 48.70%1.12I 89.29%NM 51.30%74.0%2026-08-06 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 48.70%1.12I 89.29%NM 51.30%74.0%2026-08-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 48.70%1.12I 89.29%NM 51.30%74.0%2026-08-06 01:40