The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
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Talia Gibson v Ekaterina Alexandrova

2026-08-07 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Talia Gibson (Local)

Prediction 39.63%2.52fair odd
EV +3.43%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +2.13%
Growth +0.073%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.50%39.50%39.55%40.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.342.6145.45%42.43%42.74%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit)

Prediction 60.37%1.66fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -5.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.29%60.50%60.45%63.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.561.561.6067.11%63.93%63.90%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Talia Gibson (Local): 39.63%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit): 60.37%. For Talia Gibson (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.61, producing a positive expected value of +3.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV +3.43%E +1.31%K +2.13%G +0.073%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -9.44%E -6.30%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 07:04
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.929%E -0.372%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 06:57
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.91%E -1.19%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.61%E -2.92%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:14
FanDuel2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.31%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:00
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.10%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:10
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.61%E -2.92%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 05:30
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.32%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:04
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.32%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:05
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 07:04
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:53
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.63%E -4.99%K -14.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 01:00
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.24%E -5.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 00:54
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.22%E -3.32%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 06:55
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.22%E -3.32%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 01:00
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.42%E -4.14%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 00:55
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.42%E -4.14%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 00:55
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:55
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.42%E -4.14%K -11.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 00:55
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.63%E -4.99%K -14.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 01:10
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.24%E -5.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:19
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:19
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:19
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:19
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.63%E -4.99%K -14.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 05:04
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.65%E -4.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 07:20
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -10.04%E -4.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -8.24%E -5.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 00:54
ReBet2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -10.04%E -4.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -8.24%E -5.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 00:54
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.82%E -5.83%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.44%E -6.30%K -18.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-05 00:54
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -12.82%E -5.83%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62%EV -10.05%E -6.74%K -20.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-05 00:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 37.31%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.69%8.5%2026-08-05 07:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%10.9%2026-08-05 05:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%10.9%2026-08-05 05:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%10.9%2026-08-05 05:15
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.16%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.84%12.2%2026-08-05 00:55