Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Talia Gibson v Ekaterina Alexandrova

Início: 2026-08-06 15:09 UTC

Final: Talia Gibson 1–2 Ekaterina Alexandrova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Talia Gibson (Local)

Previsão 47.46%2.11odd justa
EV -1.28%
Vantagem -0.617%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.26%47.38%47.49%49.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.881.982.002.0853.19%50.54%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante)

Previsão 52.54%1.90odd justa
EV -0.173%
Vantagem -0.091%
Kelly -0.192%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.26%52.62%52.51%54.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.801.801.9058.82%55.56%55.56%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Talia Gibson (Local): 47.46%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante): 52.54%. Para Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.903. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.900, com valor esperado de -0.173%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -1.28%E -0.617%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -9.63%E -5.60%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 15:04
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 15:05
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.00%E -3.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 09:09
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.66%E -1.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.22%E -0.651%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.66%E -1.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.66%E -1.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -1.75%E -0.935%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 14:55
ReBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 14:05
GTbets🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -4.61%E -2.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -8.05%E -4.60%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 09:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.33%E -1.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 10:19
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 14:43
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 10:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 10:04
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 09:55
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 09:55
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 09:55
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 09:55
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 10:00
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 08:45
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 15:05
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 08:50
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 14:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 09:55
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 08:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.95%E -3.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:20
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.95%E -3.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.95%E -3.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.95%E -3.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.95%E -3.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 15:05
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.00%E -3.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 14:47
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.68%E -6.28%K -15.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.03%E -3.05%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 14:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.03%E -3.05%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 15:05
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.03%E -3.05%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 15:05
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.03%E -3.05%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.95%E -3.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 15:05
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.03%E -3.05%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.95%E -3.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 15:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.50%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 15:04
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -6.50%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.00%E -3.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 15:05
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -6.50%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.00%E -3.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -6.50%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -7.53%E -4.28%K -9.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -6.50%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -10.16%E -5.94%K -14.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 15:03
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 15:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.48%E -3.64%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 14:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.05%E -4.60%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 09:19
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.05%E -4.60%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 09:20
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.40%E -4.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 14:45
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -8.88%E -4.62%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -0.173%E -0.091%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 15:04
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 09:00
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 09:00
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 14:09
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 15:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 15:05
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.58%E -4.93%K -11.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-06 15:05
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.83%E -5.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.83%E -5.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 08:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.49%EV -10.78%E -5.73%K -12.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.51%EV -10.68%E -6.28%K -15.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-06 15:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-08-06 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-08-06 15:05
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-08-06 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-06 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-06 15:05
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-08-06 15:05
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-08-06 15:05