Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Talia Gibson v Ekaterina Alexandrova

2026-08-07 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Talia Gibson (Local)

Previsão 39.63%2.52odd justa
EV +3.43%
Vantagem +1.31%
Kelly +2.13%
Crescimento +0.073%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.50%39.50%39.55%40.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.362.352.6145.45%42.45%42.55%38.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante)

Previsão 60.37%1.66odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -1.74%
Kelly -4.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.29%60.50%60.45%63.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.491.571.571.6167.11%63.87%63.69%62.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Talia Gibson (Local): 39.63%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante): 60.37%. Para Talia Gibson (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.52. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.61, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +3.43%.

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV +3.43%E +1.31%K +2.13%G +0.073%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -9.44%E -6.30%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 07:04
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.929%E -0.372%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 06:57
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.91%E -1.19%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.61%E -2.92%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:14
FanDuel2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.31%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:00
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.10%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:10
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.61%E -2.92%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 05:30
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.32%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:04
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.32%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:05
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:53
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.63%E -4.99%K -14.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 01:00
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.24%E -5.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 00:54
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.22%E -3.32%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 06:55
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.22%E -3.32%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 01:00
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.42%E -4.14%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 00:55
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.42%E -4.14%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 00:55
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.80%E -1.74%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 07:55
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.22%E -3.32%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 07:50
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:55
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.42%E -4.14%K -11.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 00:55
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.63%E -4.99%K -14.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 01:10
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.24%E -5.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:19
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:19
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:19
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:19
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 07:20
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.63%E -4.99%K -14.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 05:04
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.65%E -4.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.82%E -3.73%K -10.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 07:20
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -10.04%E -4.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -8.24%E -5.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 00:54
ReBet2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -10.04%E -4.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -8.24%E -5.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 00:54
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.82%E -5.83%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.44%E -6.30%K -18.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-05 00:54
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -12.82%E -5.83%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62%EV -10.05%E -6.74%K -20.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-05 00:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 37.31%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.69%8.5%2026-08-05 07:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.89%10.6%2026-08-05 08:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.89%10.6%2026-08-05 08:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.89%10.6%2026-08-05 08:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.16%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.84%12.2%2026-08-05 00:55