Language:English
Sloane Stephens v Belinda Bencic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sloane Stephens (Local)
Prediction 14.91%6.71fair odd
EV +8.11%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.105%
assuming max odds 7.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.25%14.99%14.81%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.136.007.2520.00%16.31%16.67%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Belinda Bencic (Visit)
Prediction 85.09%1.18fair odd
EV -0.447%
Edge -0.382%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%85.01%85.19%86.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.121.1792.59%89.22%89.29%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sloane Stephens (Local): 14.91%; Belinda Bencic (Visit): 85.09%. For Sloane Stephens (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.71. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +8.11%E +1.12%K +1.30%G +0.105% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 08:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +7.36%E +1.02%K +1.19%G +0.087% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV +6.32%E +0.886%K +1.03%G +0.065% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV +6.32%E +0.886%K +1.03%G +0.065% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 13:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.01I 14.27%NM 13.78%EV +4.53%E +0.646%K +0.754%G +0.034% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.22%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.38%E +0.626%K +0.730%G +0.032% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 11:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.38%E +0.626%K +0.730%G +0.032% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 09:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.38%E +0.626%K +0.730%G +0.032% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.38%E +0.626%K +0.730%G +0.032% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.81I 14.68%NM 14.12%EV +1.55%E +0.227%K +0.266%G +0.004% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +0.653%E +0.097%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 11:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -1.58%E -0.240%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.00%E -2.63%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 12:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -3.82%E -0.592%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.48%EV -6.36%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.52%EV -2.15%E -1.87%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.80%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.80%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.55%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.55%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.74%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.74%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 09:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.52%EV -14.11%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.48%EV -3.00%E -2.63%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.26%E -2.48%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -15.00%E -2.63%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -16.50%E -2.95%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.99%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.99%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.99%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -25.44%E -5.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -0.447%E -0.382%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -25.44%E -5.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -0.447%E -0.382%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -25.44%E -5.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -0.447%E -0.382%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -25.44%E -5.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -0.447%E -0.382%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.44%E -5.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.00%E -2.63%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.44%E -5.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.00%E -2.63%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.44%E -5.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.00%E -2.63%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.83% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.17% | 1.8% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |