Idioma:Español
Sloane Stephens v Belinda Bencic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sloane Stephens (Local)
Predicción 14.91%6.71momio equitativo
EV +8.11%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +1.30%
Crecimiento +0.105%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.25%14.99%14.81%18.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.006.136.007.2520.00%16.31%16.67%13.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Belinda Bencic (Visitante)
Predicción 85.09%1.18momio equitativo
EV -0.447%
Ventaja -0.382%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.04%85.01%85.19%86.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.081.121.121.1792.59%89.22%89.29%85.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sloane Stephens (Local): 14.91%; Belinda Bencic (Visitante): 85.09%. Para Sloane Stephens (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.71. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.11%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +8.11%E +1.12%K +1.30%G +0.105% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 08:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +7.36%E +1.02%K +1.19%G +0.087% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV +6.32%E +0.886%K +1.03%G +0.065% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV +6.32%E +0.886%K +1.03%G +0.065% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 13:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.01I 14.27%NM 13.78%EV +4.53%E +0.646%K +0.754%G +0.034% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.22%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.38%E +0.626%K +0.730%G +0.032% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 11:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.38%E +0.626%K +0.730%G +0.032% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 09:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.38%E +0.626%K +0.730%G +0.032% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.38%E +0.626%K +0.730%G +0.032% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.81I 14.68%NM 14.12%EV +1.55%E +0.227%K +0.266%G +0.004% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +0.653%E +0.097%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 11:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -1.58%E -0.240%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.00%E -2.63%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 12:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.07%E -0.473%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -3.82%E -0.592%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.48%EV -6.36%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.52%EV -2.15%E -1.87%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.80%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.80%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.55%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.55%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.74%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.74%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 07:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.85%E -3.41%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 09:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.53%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.52%EV -14.11%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.48%EV -3.00%E -2.63%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.26%E -2.48%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -15.00%E -2.63%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -64.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -16.50%E -2.95%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.99%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.99%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 07:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.99%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.70%E -4.20%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -25.44%E -5.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -0.447%E -0.382%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -25.44%E -5.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -0.447%E -0.382%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -25.44%E -5.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -0.447%E -0.382%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -25.44%E -5.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -0.447%E -0.382%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.44%E -5.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.00%E -2.63%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.44%E -5.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.00%E -2.63%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.44%E -5.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.00%E -2.63%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.83% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.17% | 1.8% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |