Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sloane Stephens v Belinda Bencic

2026-08-05 16:30 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sloane Stephens (Local)

Predicción 16.13%6.20momio equitativo
EV +4.86%
Ventaja +0.748%
Kelly +0.884%
Crecimiento +0.043%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.59%16.17%16.18%18.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.805.906.5020.00%17.23%16.95%15.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Belinda Bencic (Visitante)

Predicción 83.87%1.19momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -2.34%
Kelly -16.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.17%83.83%83.82%85.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.091.131.131.1691.74%88.69%88.50%86.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Sloane Stephens (Local): 16.13%; Belinda Bencic (Visitante): 83.87%. Para Sloane Stephens (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.20. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +4.86%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +4.86%E +0.748%K +0.884%G +0.043%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -4.39%E -3.85%K -31.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 14:10
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +4.86%E +0.748%K +0.884%G +0.043%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 12:49
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +4.86%E +0.748%K +0.884%G +0.043%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.91%E -6.22%K -62.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 11:00
FanDuel6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +1.63%E +0.259%K +0.308%G +0.005%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:00
1xBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -2.40%E -0.396%K -0.475%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.39%E -3.85%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:24
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 06:00
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:09
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:10
BetRivers6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:10
Unibet (NL)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:10
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:10
Casumo6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:10
TABtouch6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:09
Unibet (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:09
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:09
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:09
Svenska Spel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:09
betPARX6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:10
ATG (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:09
Bally Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:08
Hard Rock Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 07:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:45
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:58
betfred_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 15:15
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 15:15
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 15:20
Caesars6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.21%E -0.534%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.91%E -6.22%K -62.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 13:49
GTbets5.96I 16.78%NM 16.17%EV -3.85%E -0.646%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.83%EV -3.55%E -3.09%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 06:54
Marathon Bet5.95I 16.81%NM 15.96%EV -4.01%E -0.674%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.04%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:19
Fanatics5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -4.82%E -0.817%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:15
Fliff5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.82%E -0.817%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:05
NordicBet5.87I 17.04%NM 16.02%EV -5.30%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:30
Betsson5.87I 17.04%NM 16.02%EV -5.30%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:31
PointsBet (AU)5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -5.63%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 07:39
Betclic (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.43%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:44
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.24%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.39%E -3.85%K -31.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 15:00
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.24%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:10
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.24%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:35
Betway5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.24%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 08:40
SportsBet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -8.04%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 19:05
theScore Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -8.04%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 06:05
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -8.04%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.75%E -7.04%K -77.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 07:19
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -9.66%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.91%E -6.22%K -62.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 18:15
DraftKings5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -10.46%E -1.89%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -3.55%E -3.09%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:10
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.27%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.39%E -3.85%K -31.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:45
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.27%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.39%E -3.85%K -31.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 16:15
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.27%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.39%E -3.85%K -31.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 20:50
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.27%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.39%E -3.85%K -31.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:20
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.27%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.39%E -3.85%K -31.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:20
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.27%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:48
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -11.27%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.91%E -6.22%K -62.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:45
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.88%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.88%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:15
Unibet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.88%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 22:35
ReBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.88%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 18:20
Winamax (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -12.88%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -8.58%E -7.88%K -95.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-04 21:05
Dabble (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.30%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.55%E -3.09%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 18:20
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -19.34%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -2.71%E -2.34%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.34%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 20:20
betano_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -19.34%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 20:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig5.71I 17.51%NM 16.40%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.60%6.8%2026-08-04 23:45
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%7.0%2026-08-04 21:20
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%7.4%2026-08-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 49.77%1.09I 91.74%NM 50.23%82.7%2026-08-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 49.77%1.09I 91.74%NM 50.23%82.7%2026-08-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 48.84%1.05I 95.24%NM 51.16%86.1%2026-08-05 00:15