Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Renata Zarazua v Tamara Korpatsch

Kickoff: 2026-08-03 22:48 UTC

Final: Renata Zarazua 2–1 Tamara Korpatsch

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Renata Zarazua (Local)

Prediction 59.13%1.69fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.754%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.06%59.08%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.601.601.6764.94%62.46%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tamara Korpatsch (Visit)

Prediction 40.87%2.45fair odd
EV +0.142%
Edge +0.058%
Kelly +0.098%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.39%40.94%40.92%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.302.4547.62%43.68%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Renata Zarazua (Local): 59.13%; Tamara Korpatsch (Visit): 40.87%. For Tamara Korpatsch (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.447. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.450, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.142%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.142%E +0.058%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-03 21:10
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.90%E -0.793%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 21:34
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.90%E -0.793%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 21:15
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.76%E -4.98%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.90%E -0.793%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 21:30
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 22:44
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 20:55
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -3.13%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -3.13%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 07:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 08:59
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 15:00
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 08:09
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 08:07
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.40%E -3.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 22:44
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.99%E -3.77%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 21:25
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.40%E -3.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.35%E -1.86%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 21:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.76%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 15:05
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.17%E -2.23%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 21:05
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.76%E -4.98%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.17%E -2.23%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 22:45
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.58%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 22:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.58%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:34
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.40%E -3.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -5.58%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 22:45
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 23:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:43
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.40%E -3.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 08:09
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.40%E -3.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 22:43
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.40%E -3.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.99%E -3.77%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 22:35
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.99%E -3.77%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:24
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 22:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 22:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 22:44
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 22:44
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.99%E -3.77%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -6.40%E -2.79%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 07:50
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.99%E -3.77%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -6.40%E -2.79%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 07:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 10:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.03%E -1.85%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.03%E -1.85%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 21:25
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.40%E -3.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 21:04
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 22:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.85%E -3.97%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 22:45
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.85%E -3.97%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.85%E -3.97%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.85%E -3.97%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 22:44
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.85%E -3.97%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 22:44
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.85%E -3.97%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.85%E -3.97%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 22:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.89%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -9.26%E -4.17%K -7.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 22:44
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.26%E -0.754%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:04
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 22:44
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 22:44
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.40%E -3.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 22:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.40%E -3.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.40%E -3.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.40%E -3.37%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 22:45
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%EV -11.71%E -5.42%K -10.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.22%E -2.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -12.12%E -5.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 10:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -14.16%E -6.74%K -12.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-03 22:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-08-03 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-08-03 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-08-03 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-03 22:45
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-08-03 22:45
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-08-03 22:45
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-03 22:32

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