Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Renata Zarazua v Tamara Korpatsch

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Renata Zarazua (Local)

Predicción 59.26%1.69momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -4.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%59.29%59.31%61.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.591.591.6468.03%62.99%62.89%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tamara Korpatsch (Visitante)

Predicción 40.74%2.45momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.582%
Kelly -0.992%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.99%40.71%40.69%41.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.322.302.4245.45%43.17%43.48%41.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Renata Zarazua (Local): 59.26%; Tamara Korpatsch (Visitante): 40.74%. Para Tamara Korpatsch (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.45. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.42, con un valor esperado de -1.41%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.81%E -1.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 10:26
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.81%E -1.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.11%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:09
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.22%E -0.926%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 08:09
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.22%E -0.926%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 13:45
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:29
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -1.41%E -0.582%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 08:09
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -1.41%E -0.582%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 08:10
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 15:00
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 08:09
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 08:07
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.48%E -2.36%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:39
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 10:15
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 10:15
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 10:14
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:55
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:39
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:04
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:40
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 08:09
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.78%E -3.63%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:35
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.78%E -3.63%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 10:15
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.78%E -3.63%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:24
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:35
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.38%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.62%EV -5.89%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:45
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 13:34
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 13:45
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 58.85%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.15%EV -7.93%E -3.51%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:19
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.04%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.04%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 13:54
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -5.89%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:44
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 08:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:30
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 08:09
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 13:05
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 13:19
betano_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.56%E -4.84%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.11%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 12:45
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:40
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.93%E -6.53%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 13:49
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -10.52%E -6.97%K -20.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 14:04
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.01%EV -12.89%E -8.77%K -27.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-02 12:05
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-02 15:05
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%3.0%2026-08-02 15:10