Language:English
Renata Zarazua v Leylah Fernandez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Renata Zarazua (Local)
Prediction 27.71%3.61fair odd
EV +3.93%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%27.80%27.81%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.033.463.403.7533.00%28.94%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leylah Fernandez (Visit)
Prediction 72.29%1.38fair odd
EV -0.968%
Edge -0.706%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%72.20%72.19%74.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.301.3780.00%76.80%76.92%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Renata Zarazua (Local): 27.71%; Leylah Fernandez (Visit): 72.29%. For Renata Zarazua (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.93%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +1.15%E +0.316%K +0.436%G +0.005% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 23:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.231%E -0.064%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 23:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.231%E -0.064%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.64%E -7.71%K -38.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -0.786%E -0.219%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.00%E -0.858%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.00%E -0.858%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.00%E -0.858%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.00%E -0.858%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.00%E -0.858%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.00%E -0.858%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.64%E -7.71%K -38.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 21:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -4.94%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -4.94%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 23:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -6.05%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 23:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.84%EV -6.33%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.16%EV -0.968%E -0.706%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -8.20%E -6.45%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -7.99%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 09:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.41%E -1.79%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 15:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -12.70%E -4.03%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.02%EV -16.03%E -5.29%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.98%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |