Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Renata Zarazua v Leylah Fernandez

2026-08-05 23:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Renata Zarazua (Local)

Predicción 31.52%3.17momio equitativo
EV -0.728%
Ventaja -0.231%
Kelly -0.338%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.32%31.60%31.51%34.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.1537.04%33.51%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leylah Fernandez (Visitante)

Predicción 68.48%1.46momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -6.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.95%68.40%68.49%69.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.51%72.46%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Renata Zarazua (Local): 31.52%; Leylah Fernandez (Visitante): 68.48%. Para Renata Zarazua (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.17. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.15, con un valor esperado de -0.728%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.728%E -0.231%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 14:50
GTbets3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -1.99%E -0.639%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -6.18%E -4.51%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 06:04
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.30%E -0.743%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:09
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.30%E -0.743%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:05
BetAnything3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.30%E -0.743%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:04
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.30%E -0.743%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.18%E -4.51%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:00
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.30%E -0.743%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:00
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -2.93%E -0.953%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 19:10
SportsBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -2.93%E -0.953%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 19:15
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.81%E -3.46%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:05
PointsBet (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 14:50
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:09
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:09
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:09
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:09
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:09
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:09
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.19%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:04
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:00
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:44
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:59
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 09:09
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:20
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.18%E -4.51%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 15:25
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 07:29
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 16:00
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 07:24
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.55%E -5.59%K -21.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 06:59
NordicBet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -5.77%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.18%E -4.51%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:14
Betsson2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -5.77%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.18%E -4.51%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:14
Dabble (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.03%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.03%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.18%E -4.51%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 16:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.03%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.55%E -5.59%K -21.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 06:05
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:45
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:50
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:50
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 19:45
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 15:14
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:45
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:49
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:05
ReBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 23:05
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.24%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.55%E -3.33%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 15:15
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.55%E -3.33%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 15:15
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.75%E -1.94%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 15:15
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.75%E -1.94%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 15:15
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.40%EV -8.91%E -6.70%K -27.02%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-04 20:59
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -14.91%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -8.91%E -6.70%K -27.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-04 15:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07%2.0%2026-08-04 23:50
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%5.7%2026-08-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%8.3%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%8.3%2026-08-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%8.3%2026-08-04 23:55
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%10.3%2026-08-04 23:05