Language:English
Rebecca Marino v Zeynep Sonmez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rebecca Marino (Local)
Prediction 27.20%3.68fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.536%
Kelly +0.730%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%27.26%27.08%29.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.443.403.7531.25%29.03%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zeynep Sonmez (Visit)
Prediction 72.80%1.37fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -7.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.80%72.74%72.92%74.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.311.311.3478.74%76.42%76.34%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rebecca Marino (Local): 27.20%; Zeynep Sonmez (Visit): 72.80%. For Rebecca Marino (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +2.01%E +0.536%K +0.730%G +0.015% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-03 09:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV +1.74%E +0.464%K +0.634%G +0.011% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-03 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV +0.104%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.712%E -0.195%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.712%E -0.195%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.07%E -0.576%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.18%E -2.39%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 15:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.07%E -0.576%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.07%E -0.576%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -3.98%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 05:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -3.98%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 05:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -3.98%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 18:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 05:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 22:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 05:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 13:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 15:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.82%E -5.33%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.82%E -5.33%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.55%E -5.94%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 11:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.82%E -5.33%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 05:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.03%EV -6.42%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.97%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.18%E -2.39%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.18%E -2.39%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 06:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 06:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 06:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 06:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 06:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 06:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 06:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 06:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 06:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 06:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 06:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 22:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 22:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -8.60%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -9.69%E -2.92%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.18%E -2.39%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 21:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 04:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.18%E -2.39%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 01:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 21:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 22:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.36%E -4.13%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-08-03 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 2.6% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71% | 2.8% | 2026-08-03 20:45 |
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