Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk v Madison Keys

Início: 2026-08-06 19:35 UTC

Final: Marta Kostyuk 2–0 Madison Keys

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Previsão 54.88%1.82odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -2.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.95%54.96%54.83%55.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.691.731.731.7859.17%57.91%57.80%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Madison Keys (Visitante)

Previsão 45.12%2.22odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -0.748%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.10%45.04%45.17%46.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.102.102.1848.78%47.66%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 54.88%; Madison Keys (Visitante): 45.12%. Para Madison Keys (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.22. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.18, com valor esperado de -1.63%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.32%E -1.30%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.53%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 18:26
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.87%E -1.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 01:49
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.87%E -1.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.42%E -1.94%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 12:59
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.89%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 19:29
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 19:50
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 19:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.14%E -2.95%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 19:34
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 18:56
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 18:56
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 05:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 11:45
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 01:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.79%E -2.27%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 12:20
ReBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.79%E -2.27%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:09
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 19:26
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:42
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:05
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.06%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.63%E -0.748%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.63%E -0.748%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.79%E -2.27%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 11:55
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 01:50
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 05:24
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 11:05
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 11:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 10:04
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 19:34
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.69%E -2.72%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.59%E -3.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 11:05
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 19:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.05%E -3.42%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 05:10
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -7.26%E -4.29%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -3.89%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 18:56
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.26%E -4.29%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.24%E -2.50%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 11:09
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.26%E -4.29%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 05:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-08-06 19:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-08-06 19:26
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-08-06 19:25
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-06 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-06 19:26
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-08-06 19:26
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-08-06 19:26