StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marta Kostyuk v Madison Keys

2026-08-07 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marta Kostyuk (Heim)

Prognose 55.51%1.80faire Quote
EV +0.478%
Vorteil +0.264%
Kelly +0.590%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.81

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.42%55.37%55.44%56.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.611.731.721.8162.11%57.77%58.14%55.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Madison Keys (Auswärts)

Prognose 44.49%2.25faire Quote
EV -2.13%
Vorteil -0.967%
Kelly -1.77%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
43.30%44.63%44.56%47.58%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.952.082.102.2051.28%48.15%47.62%45.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Marta Kostyuk (Heim): 55.51%; Madison Keys (Auswärts): 44.49%. Für Marta Kostyuk (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.80. 14 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.81 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +0.478%.

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +0.478%E +0.264%K +0.590%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +0.478%E +0.264%K +0.590%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 09:59
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +0.478%E +0.264%K +0.590%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +0.478%E +0.264%K +0.590%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 10:00
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +0.478%E +0.264%K +0.590%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +0.478%E +0.264%K +0.590%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 09:59
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +0.478%E +0.264%K +0.590%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +0.478%E +0.264%K +0.590%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 09:59
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +0.478%E +0.264%K +0.590%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +0.478%E +0.264%K +0.590%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 10:00
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +0.478%E +0.264%K +0.590%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 10:00
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +0.478%E +0.264%K +0.590%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 09:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +0.478%E +0.264%K +0.590%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +0.478%E +0.264%K +0.590%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.077%E -0.043%K -0.097%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 10:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -1.74%E -0.985%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -13.25%E -6.79%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 10:00
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.30%E -1.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -3.02%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-05 11:24
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.85%E -1.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.02%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 13:04
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.85%E -1.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -5.24%E -2.46%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 10:25
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -6.13%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 11:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:35
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 11:05
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 11:04
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.07%E -2.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 10:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.07%E -2.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 10:04
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.07%E -2.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 09:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 10:05
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 11:05
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:39
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 14:39
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 10:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 14:09
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 11:09
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.74%E -4.01%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.13%E -0.967%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 09:44
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.74%E -4.01%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 10:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.13%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 10:05
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 10:05
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 10:05
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 10:05
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.40%E -5.09%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.40%E -5.09%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 15:15
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.51%E -5.84%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-05 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.62%E -6.60%K -17.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-05 10:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-05 15:15
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%5.7%2026-08-05 11:20
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 55.19%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.81%10.5%2026-08-05 15:20
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%12.1%2026-08-05 14:45