La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Marta Kostyuk v Madison Keys

2026-08-06 18:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Predicción 54.86%1.82momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -3.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.95%54.87%54.83%55.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.691.731.731.7859.17%57.86%57.80%56.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Madison Keys (Visitante)

Predicción 45.14%2.22momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.59%45.13%45.17%46.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.102.102.1648.78%47.71%47.62%46.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 54.86%; Madison Keys (Visitante): 45.14%. Para Marta Kostyuk (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.82. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.78, con un valor esperado de -2.34%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.51%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.89%E -1.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 01:49
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.89%E -1.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 01:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.44%E -1.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 12:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.99%E -2.28%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.86%E -1.81%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 06:23
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.99%E -2.28%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 19:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.99%E -2.28%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 16:15
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.99%E -2.28%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:15
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.99%E -2.28%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 01:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 13:55
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 18:05
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 15:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 05:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 11:45
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 11:59
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 01:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.76%E -2.26%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 12:20
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:09
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:42
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 11:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:05
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:05
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.31%E -2.03%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.76%E -2.26%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.76%E -2.26%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 01:50
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 05:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 07:45
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.67%E -2.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 11:05
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 11:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 10:04
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.67%E -2.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 18:50
Betsson🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.67%E -2.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 18:33
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.57%E -3.17%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 11:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 05:10
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.28%E -4.31%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 11:09
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.28%E -4.31%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 05:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-06 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-06 16:55
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-06 16:50
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-06 16:55
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.1%2026-08-06 16:50
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-08-06 16:45