Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linda Noskova (Local): 75.05%; Caty McNally (Visit): 24.95%. For Caty McNally (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.77%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +4.77%E +1.14%K +1.49%G +0.071% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 08:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.28%E +0.555%K +0.734%G +0.017% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02%EV +1.03%E +0.254%K +0.337%G +0.003% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +0.530%E +0.131%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +0.530%E +0.131%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.218%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.218%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.93%E -8.28%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.218%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.47%E -0.371%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -1.47%E -0.371%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.71%E -0.696%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.71%E -0.696%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.96%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.96%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -5.71%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 22:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 06:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 22:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -6.70%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.43%E -6.91%K -38.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV -7.95%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 07:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -9.18%E -7.59%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |