Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Linda Noskova v Caty McNally

2026-08-05 22:30 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Linda Noskova (Local)

Predicción 74.33%1.35momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.855%
Kelly -3.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.11%74.27%74.40%76.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.77%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Caty McNally (Visitante)

Predicción 25.67%3.90momio equitativo
EV +2.67%
Ventaja +0.667%
Kelly +0.889%
Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.66%25.73%25.60%28.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.583.644.0031.25%27.91%27.47%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Linda Noskova (Local): 74.33%; Caty McNally (Visitante): 25.67%. Para Caty McNally (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.90. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.67%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.67%E +0.667%K +0.889%G +0.024%5.0%2026-08-04 23:05
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.83%E -6.31%K -32.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.67%E +0.667%K +0.889%G +0.024%5.6%2026-08-04 22:35
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.48%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.52%EV +1.13%E +0.286%K +0.384%G +0.004%3.5%2026-08-04 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.18%E -0.307%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 16:40
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.70%E -0.443%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 14:15
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.47%E -0.649%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 21:35
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.34%E -5.03%K -24.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.47%E -0.649%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 16:40
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.47%E -0.649%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:14
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.83%E -6.31%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -2.47%E -0.649%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 21:55
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.31%E -7.63%K -42.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -2.47%E -0.649%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 16:45
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -2.72%E -0.718%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -2.72%E -0.718%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:50
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.000%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:40
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.000%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:40
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.000%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 15:00
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.000%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.75%E -1.000%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:40
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.75%E -1.000%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 16:40
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.75%E -1.000%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 16:14
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 21:40
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:25
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:25
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.03%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:25
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV -5.29%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 19:10
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -5.55%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 16:10
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:09
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:29
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:44
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:40
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 16:45
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -6.57%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:05
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -6.57%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:05
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 14:20
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 14:20
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 16:39
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.34%E -5.03%K -24.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 15:20
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.83%E -6.31%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 23:35
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.17%E -2.90%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:35
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.34%E -5.03%K -24.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.17%E -2.90%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 15:24
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 15:24
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 19:04
betano_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.11%E -3.19%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.73%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 19:08
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:05
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:04
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:05
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:05
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:05
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:05
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:04
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:05
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:05
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:05
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:05
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:05
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.14%E -0.855%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:04
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.57%E -6.97%K -37.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -16.58%E -5.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-04 16:39
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -17.87%E -5.58%K -8.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 19:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%4.1%2026-08-04 21:40
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%4.3%2026-08-04 23:55
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%9.9%2026-08-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 46.89%1.13I 88.50%NM 53.11%66.6%2026-08-04 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 46.89%1.13I 88.50%NM 53.11%66.6%2026-08-04 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 46.22%1.10I 90.91%NM 53.78%69.0%2026-08-04 21:35