Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Linda Noskova v Caty McNally

Inicio: 2026-08-05 22:41 UTC

Final: Linda Noskova 0–2 Caty McNally

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Linda Noskova (Local)

Predicción 75.05%1.33momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -8.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.74%75.11%75.00%77.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.22%79.37%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Caty McNally (Visitante)

Predicción 24.95%4.01momio equitativo
EV +4.77%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.49%
Crecimiento +0.071%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.94%24.89%25.00%28.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.723.704.2030.30%26.88%27.03%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Linda Noskova (Local): 75.05%; Caty McNally (Visitante): 24.95%. Para Caty McNally (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.01. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.77%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +4.77%E +1.14%K +1.49%G +0.071%3.8%2026-08-05 08:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.28%E +0.555%K +0.734%G +0.017%4.4%2026-08-05 08:20
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02%EV +1.03%E +0.254%K +0.337%G +0.003%2.8%2026-08-05 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +0.530%E +0.131%K +0.175%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-05 07:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +0.530%E +0.131%K +0.175%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-05 07:45
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.218%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 22:39
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.218%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.93%E -8.28%K -49.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.218%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 22:40
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.47%E -0.371%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 21:15
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -1.47%E -0.371%K -0.497%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:40
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.71%E -0.696%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.71%E -0.696%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.96%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.96%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:40
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 22:40
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 22:24
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 22:39
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -5.71%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 22:40
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 13:59
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 22:35
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 22:40
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 06:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -6.70%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 22:39
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:40
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:40
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:40
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:40
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.43%E -6.91%K -38.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 22:40
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV -7.95%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 14:40
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:40
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:15
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.68%E -3.69%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 22:40
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 07:44
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.95%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 07:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-05 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 14:05
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -9.18%E -7.59%K -43.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-05 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 22:40
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 22:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-08-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-08-05 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-08-05 22:40
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-08-05 22:40
ProphetX◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-08-05 22:40
Novig◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-08-05 22:40
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%3.8%2026-08-05 22:40