Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katie Boulter v Kayla Cross

Kickoff: 2026-08-03 16:37 UTC

Final: Katie Boulter 0–2 Kayla Cross

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katie Boulter (Local)

Prediction 72.79%1.37fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -4.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%72.58%72.92%73.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.301.301.3581.30%76.66%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kayla Cross (Visit)

Prediction 27.21%3.67fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.565%
Kelly -0.782%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.17%27.42%27.08%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.443.503.6032.26%29.08%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Boulter (Local): 72.79%; Kayla Cross (Visit): 27.21%. For Katie Boulter (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.35, with an expected value of -1.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%EV -1.74%E -1.29%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 04:04
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 10:55
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -2.31%E -0.642%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 14:40
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 16:35
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 16:35
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 16:34
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:20
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.64%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 14:25
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -10.47%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 16:35
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 16:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 14:25
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 16:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 14:24
ReBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 15:35
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -6.39%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -6.66%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 16:35
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 14:25
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:14
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:15
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:15
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:14
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:15
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:13
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 12:50
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 12:59
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 14:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 16:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 14:39
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 00:10
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 23:29
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 16:28
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 16:28
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 05:50
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 16:34
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 11:55
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -6.66%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.83%E -5.34%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 16:35
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.83%E -5.34%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 23:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.83%E -5.34%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 04:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.83%E -5.34%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.56%E -5.95%K -28.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 16:35
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -8.29%E -6.58%K -31.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.83%EV -10.47%E -8.51%K -45.53%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.17%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-08-03 16:30
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-03 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-03 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-08-03 16:35
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-08-03 16:35
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%2.7%2026-08-03 16:35

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