Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Katie Boulter v Kayla Cross

Inicio: 2026-08-03 16:37 UTC

Final: Katie Boulter 0–2 Kayla Cross

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Katie Boulter (Local)

Predicción 72.79%1.37momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -4.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.98%72.58%72.92%73.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.231.301.301.3581.30%76.66%76.92%74.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kayla Cross (Visitante)

Predicción 27.21%3.67momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -0.565%
Kelly -0.782%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.17%27.42%27.08%30.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.443.503.6032.26%29.08%28.57%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Katie Boulter (Local): 72.79%; Kayla Cross (Visitante): 27.21%. Para Katie Boulter (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.37. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.35, con un valor esperado de -1.74%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%EV -1.74%E -1.29%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 04:04
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 10:55
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -2.31%E -0.642%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 14:40
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 16:35
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 16:35
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 16:34
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:20
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.64%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 14:25
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -3.92%E -2.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -10.47%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 16:35
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 16:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 14:25
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -3.94%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 16:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 14:24
ReBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 15:35
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -6.39%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -6.66%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.65%E -3.55%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 16:35
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 14:25
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:14
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:15
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:15
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:14
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:15
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:13
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 12:50
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 12:59
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 14:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 16:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 14:39
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 00:10
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 23:29
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 16:28
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.38%E -4.14%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 16:28
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 05:50
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 16:34
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 11:55
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -6.66%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.83%E -5.34%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 16:35
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.83%E -5.34%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 23:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.83%E -5.34%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 04:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.83%E -5.34%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.56%E -5.95%K -28.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 16:35
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -8.29%E -6.58%K -31.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.83%EV -10.47%E -8.51%K -45.53%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.17%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 16:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-08-03 16:30
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-03 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-03 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-08-03 16:35
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-08-03 16:35
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%2.7%2026-08-03 16:35