Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.51
assuming max odds 2.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iva Jović (Local): 63.88%; Alina Korneeva (Visit): 36.12%. For Alina Korneeva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.74%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -8.65%E -6.05%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +4.74%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.118% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV +4.01%E +1.39%K +2.13%G +0.086% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 15:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.682%E -0.248%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.682%E -0.248%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.682%E -0.248%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 15:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.682%E -0.248%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.682%E -0.248%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:58 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.682%E -0.248%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.682%E -0.248%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.04%E -0.381%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.04%E -0.381%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.77%EV -1.77%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.921%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.921%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.921%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.921%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.49%E -0.921%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.45%EV -9.28%E -6.54%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.55%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.57%E -1.34%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 15:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 14:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 14:57 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 15:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -7.18%E -2.79%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:46 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 15:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.65%E -6.05%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -8.27%E -3.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.71%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.71%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -10.43%E -4.21%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -10.43%E -4.21%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78% | 0.0% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33% | 2.7% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |