Idioma:Español
Iva Jović v Alina Korneeva
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Iva Jović (Local)
Predicción 63.88%1.57momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -2.34%
Kelly -6.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.16%63.98%63.83%66.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.481.481.5170.42%67.75%67.34%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alina Korneeva (Visitante)
Predicción 36.12%2.77momio equitativo
EV +4.74%
Ventaja +1.63%
Kelly +2.49%
Crecimiento +0.118%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.03%36.02%36.17%37.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.482.632.602.9040.32%38.07%38.46%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Iva Jović (Local): 63.88%; Alina Korneeva (Visitante): 36.12%. Para Alina Korneeva (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.77. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.74%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -8.65%E -6.05%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +4.74%E +1.63%K +2.49%G +0.118% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV +4.01%E +1.39%K +2.13%G +0.086% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 15:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.682%E -0.248%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.682%E -0.248%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.682%E -0.248%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 15:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.682%E -0.248%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.682%E -0.248%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:58 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.682%E -0.248%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.682%E -0.248%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.04%E -0.381%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.04%E -0.381%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.77%EV -1.77%E -0.649%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.921%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.49%E -0.921%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.921%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.49%E -0.921%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.49%E -0.921%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.45%EV -9.28%E -6.54%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.55%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.57%E -1.34%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 15:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.02%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.38%E -2.05%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 14:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 14:57 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.10%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 15:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -7.18%E -2.79%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 10:46 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.09%E -4.14%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 15:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.65%E -6.05%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -8.27%E -3.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.71%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.71%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -10.43%E -4.21%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -10.43%E -4.21%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 10:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78% | 0.0% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 15:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33% | 2.7% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |