Language:English
Emerson Jones v Lanlana Tararudee
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Emerson Jones (Local)
Prediction 43.06%2.32fair odd
EV +27.02%
Edge +9.16%
Kelly +13.86%
Growth +3.75%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.18%41.61%44.15%47.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.342.152.9552.91%42.65%46.51%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lanlana Tararudee (Visit)
Prediction 56.94%1.76fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.761%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.82%58.39%55.85%67.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.601.621.7873.53%62.69%61.73%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emerson Jones (Local): 43.06%; Lanlana Tararudee (Visit): 56.94%. For Emerson Jones (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 25 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +27.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +27.02%E +9.16%K +13.86%G +3.75% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -20.28%E -14.49%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV +25.73%E +8.81%K +13.40%G +3.45% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -15.73%E -10.63%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +24.87%E +8.58%K +13.09%G +3.26% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -18.57%E -12.99%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 07:37 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +24.87%E +8.58%K +13.09%G +3.26% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -18.57%E -12.99%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +24.87%E +8.58%K +13.09%G +3.26% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -18.57%E -12.99%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +24.44%E +8.46%K +12.93%G +3.16% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -18.00%E -12.50%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 15:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +24.44%E +8.46%K +12.93%G +3.16% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -18.00%E -12.50%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV +24.44%E +8.46%K +12.93%G +3.16% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -19.71%E -13.98%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 18:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +24.01%E +8.34%K +12.77%G +3.07% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -20.28%E -14.49%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV +23.58%E +8.22%K +12.61%G +2.97% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -19.14%E -13.48%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +22.72%E +7.97%K +12.28%G +2.79% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -18.57%E -12.99%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +22.72%E +7.97%K +12.28%G +2.79% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -19.71%E -13.98%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV +20.13%E +7.22%K +11.25%G +2.26% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -15.16%E -10.17%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 19:08 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +18.41%E +6.70%K +10.52%G +1.94% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -17.44%E -12.02%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +18.41%E +6.70%K +10.52%G +1.94% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -20.28%E -14.49%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +18.41%E +6.70%K +10.52%G +1.94% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -20.28%E -14.49%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +18.41%E +6.70%K +10.52%G +1.94% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -20.28%E -14.49%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 20:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV +18.41%E +6.70%K +10.52%G +1.94% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -20.85%E -15.00%K -53.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.33%EV +17.12%E +6.29%K +9.95%G +1.70% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.67%EV -22.56%E -16.59%K -62.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +16.26%E +6.02%K +9.56%G +1.56% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -17.44%E -12.02%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +16.26%E +6.02%K +9.56%G +1.56% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -18.00%E -12.50%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-03 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +16.26%E +6.02%K +9.56%G +1.56% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -18.00%E -12.50%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-03 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +16.26%E +6.02%K +9.56%G +1.56% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -19.14%E -13.48%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +7.65%E +3.06%K +5.10%G +0.390% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -14.59%E -9.73%K -29.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +0.327%E +0.140%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -8.32%E -5.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -0.964%E -0.419%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.60%E -6.75%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.89%E -5.56%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 19:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.60%E -6.75%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.27%E -2.40%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.27%E -2.40%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.32%E -5.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.27%E -2.40%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.89%E -5.56%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -6.13%E -2.81%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -8.32%E -5.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.06%E -1.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 19:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.05%E -3.66%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -9.46%E -5.95%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-03 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -8.28%E -3.89%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 19:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.34%E -2.58%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.05%E -3.66%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -11.73%E -5.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -1.49%E -0.862%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 19:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -0.353%E -0.202%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -15.17%E -7.70%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV +0.216%E +0.123%K +0.285%G +0.001% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -15.17%E -7.70%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV +0.216%E +0.123%K +0.285%G +0.001% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -15.17%E -7.70%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -0.353%E -0.202%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -15.17%E -7.70%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -0.353%E -0.202%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -15.60%E -7.96%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -0.353%E -0.202%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%EV -15.60%E -7.96%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%EV -2.63%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -16.90%E -8.75%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -2.06%E -1.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.06%EV -18.62%E -9.85%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.94%EV -4.34%E -2.58%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.6% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.67% | 13.1% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
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