Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Emerson Jones v Lanlana Tararudee

2026-08-02 20:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Emerson Jones (Local)

Predicción 35.67%2.80momio equitativo
EV +0.238%
Ventaja +0.085%
Kelly +0.132%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.89%35.63%35.69%38.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.622.602.8140.82%38.13%38.46%35.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lanlana Tararudee (Visitante)

Predicción 64.33%1.55momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -4.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.71%64.37%64.31%66.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.481.491.5271.43%67.79%67.11%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Emerson Jones (Local): 35.67%; Lanlana Tararudee (Visitante): 64.33%. Para Emerson Jones (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.80. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.81, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.238%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV +0.238%E +0.085%K +0.132%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 14:40
LowVig.ag2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV +0.238%E +0.085%K +0.132%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 14:34
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.118%E -0.042%K -0.066%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:35
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.90%E -0.692%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 14:14
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.90%E -0.692%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.72%E -4.64%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:34
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.90%E -0.692%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.72%E -4.64%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:05
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.90%E -0.692%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 14:34
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.90%E -0.692%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 14:09
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -1.90%E -0.692%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -9.30%E -6.59%K -22.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:39
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.86%E -1.90%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 14:30
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 14:15
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.79%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 14:29
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.08%E -4.17%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 14:34
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:35
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.65%E -6.09%K -20.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:09
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.94%E -7.10%K -24.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:34
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.40%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 14:40
PointsBet (AU)2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -4.76%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 14:09
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 14:15
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.79%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:20
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 14:10
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.08%E -4.17%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:40
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 14:35
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 14:34
DraftKings2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.83%E -2.21%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:09
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.83%E -2.21%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.79%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:25
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.18%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:29
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.54%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:54
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.54%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:40
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:44
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:10
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.79%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:19
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.72%E -4.64%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 14:10
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:40
betano_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:39
GTbets2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -8.32%E -3.24%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -4.79%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:15
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:25
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:24
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:24
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:24
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:24
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:24
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:24
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:25
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:24
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:24
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:25
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 12:50
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:10
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.72%E -4.64%K -14.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 14:40
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -9.30%E -6.59%K -22.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:35
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -9.39%E -3.70%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 12:55
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 35.88%EV -10.11%E -4.01%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.12%EV -9.30%E -6.59%K -22.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 14:15
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:24
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -12.60%E -5.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.22%E -1.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -12.60%E -5.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.22%E -1.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-02 15:00
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-02 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-02 15:00
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%1.6%2026-08-02 14:35
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-08-02 15:20