Idioma:Español
Emerson Jones v Lanlana Tararudee
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Emerson Jones (Local)
Predicción 43.06%2.32momio equitativo
EV +27.02%
Ventaja +9.16%
Kelly +13.86%
Crecimiento +3.75%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.18%41.61%44.15%47.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.892.342.152.9552.91%42.65%46.51%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lanlana Tararudee (Visitante)
Predicción 56.94%1.76momio equitativo
EV +1.36%
Ventaja +0.761%
Kelly +1.74%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.82%58.39%55.85%67.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.601.621.7873.53%62.69%61.73%56.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Emerson Jones (Local): 43.06%; Lanlana Tararudee (Visitante): 56.94%. Para Emerson Jones (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.32. 25 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.95, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +27.02%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +27.02%E +9.16%K +13.86%G +3.75% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -20.28%E -14.49%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV +25.73%E +8.81%K +13.40%G +3.45% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -15.73%E -10.63%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +24.87%E +8.58%K +13.09%G +3.26% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -18.57%E -12.99%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 07:37 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +24.87%E +8.58%K +13.09%G +3.26% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -18.57%E -12.99%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +24.87%E +8.58%K +13.09%G +3.26% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -18.57%E -12.99%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +24.44%E +8.46%K +12.93%G +3.16% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -18.00%E -12.50%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 15:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +24.44%E +8.46%K +12.93%G +3.16% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -18.00%E -12.50%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV +24.44%E +8.46%K +12.93%G +3.16% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -19.71%E -13.98%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 18:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +24.01%E +8.34%K +12.77%G +3.07% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -20.28%E -14.49%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV +23.58%E +8.22%K +12.61%G +2.97% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -19.14%E -13.48%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +22.72%E +7.97%K +12.28%G +2.79% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -18.57%E -12.99%K -43.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +22.72%E +7.97%K +12.28%G +2.79% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -19.71%E -13.98%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV +20.13%E +7.22%K +11.25%G +2.26% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -15.16%E -10.17%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 19:08 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +18.41%E +6.70%K +10.52%G +1.94% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -17.44%E -12.02%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +18.41%E +6.70%K +10.52%G +1.94% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -20.28%E -14.49%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +18.41%E +6.70%K +10.52%G +1.94% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -20.28%E -14.49%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +18.41%E +6.70%K +10.52%G +1.94% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -20.28%E -14.49%K -50.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 20:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV +18.41%E +6.70%K +10.52%G +1.94% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -20.85%E -15.00%K -53.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.33%EV +17.12%E +6.29%K +9.95%G +1.70% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.67%EV -22.56%E -16.59%K -62.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +16.26%E +6.02%K +9.56%G +1.56% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -17.44%E -12.02%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +16.26%E +6.02%K +9.56%G +1.56% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -18.00%E -12.50%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-03 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +16.26%E +6.02%K +9.56%G +1.56% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -18.00%E -12.50%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-03 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +16.26%E +6.02%K +9.56%G +1.56% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -19.14%E -13.48%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +7.65%E +3.06%K +5.10%G +0.390% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -14.59%E -9.73%K -29.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +0.327%E +0.140%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -8.32%E -5.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -0.964%E -0.419%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.60%E -6.75%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.89%E -5.56%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 19:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.60%E -6.75%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.27%E -2.40%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.27%E -2.40%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.32%E -5.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.27%E -2.40%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.89%E -5.56%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -6.13%E -2.81%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -8.32%E -5.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.06%E -1.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 19:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.05%E -3.66%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -9.46%E -5.95%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-03 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -8.28%E -3.89%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 19:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.34%E -2.58%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.05%E -3.66%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -11.73%E -5.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -1.49%E -0.862%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 19:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.36%E +0.761%K +1.74%G +0.024% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -0.353%E -0.202%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -15.17%E -7.70%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV +0.216%E +0.123%K +0.285%G +0.001% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -15.17%E -7.70%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV +0.216%E +0.123%K +0.285%G +0.001% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -15.17%E -7.70%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -0.353%E -0.202%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -15.17%E -7.70%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -0.353%E -0.202%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -15.60%E -7.96%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -0.353%E -0.202%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%EV -15.60%E -7.96%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%EV -2.63%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -16.90%E -8.75%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -2.06%E -1.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.06%EV -18.62%E -9.85%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.94%EV -4.34%E -2.58%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-03 19:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.6% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.67% | 13.1% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |