Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elina Svitolina v Anastasia Potapova

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 02:01 UTC

Final: Elina Svitolina 2–0 Anastasia Potapova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prediction 69.12%1.45fair odd
EV -0.464%
Edge -0.322%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%68.91%69.02%71.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.371.4476.92%72.93%72.99%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anastasia Potapova (Visit)

Prediction 30.88%3.24fair odd
EV +2.21%
Edge +0.666%
Kelly +0.955%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.26%31.09%30.98%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.013.003.3136.36%33.26%33.33%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 69.12%; Anastasia Potapova (Visit): 30.88%. For Anastasia Potapova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +2.21%E +0.666%K +0.955%G +0.021%2.7%2026-08-07 01:56
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.07%E -6.07%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.90%E +0.575%K +0.825%G +0.016%5.5%2026-08-07 02:01
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -10.14%E -7.80%K -33.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +1.90%E +0.575%K +0.825%G +0.016%7.2%2026-08-07 01:59
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.353%E +0.109%K +0.157%G +0.001%4.3%2026-08-06 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.19%E -0.372%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 20:21
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.19%E -0.372%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:55
BetAnything🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.30%E -3.87%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.19%E -0.372%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.19%E -0.372%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 02:01
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.19%E -0.372%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 21:40
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.19%E -0.372%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.07%E -6.07%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.19%E -0.372%K -0.541%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 02:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.50%E -0.470%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 00:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.50%E -0.470%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.30%E -3.87%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.73%E -0.868%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.73%E -0.868%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 02:00
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.73%E -0.868%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 02:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.69%E -4.95%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.73%E -0.868%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 01:58
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.69%E -4.95%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.73%E -0.868%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 02:01
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -8.07%E -6.07%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -3.04%E -0.969%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 02:00
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV -3.35%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 02:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.30%E -3.87%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:16
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.23%E -2.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -4.90%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 01:19
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.69%E -4.95%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 02:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -6.13%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:15
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.98%EV -6.44%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 01:56
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.30%E -3.87%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 00:15
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.30%E -3.87%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 01:59
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 20:05
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 02:01
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 02:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 00:00
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 01:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.07%E -6.07%K -24.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 01:58
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.07%E -6.07%K -24.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 02:00
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.23%E -2.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 02:01
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.23%E -2.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 02:00
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.23%E -2.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 02:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.23%E -2.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 02:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.23%E -2.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.23%E -2.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.23%E -2.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 02:00
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.23%E -2.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 01:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.23%E -2.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 20:10
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 20:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.69%E -4.95%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 02:01
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -0.464%E -0.322%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -11.07%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 00:20
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.07%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 20:05
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.07%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -12.00%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:00
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -12.00%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -12.00%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:01
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -12.00%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:01
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.61%E -3.34%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -12.00%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.99%E -4.41%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 02:01
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.23%E -2.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.09%E -5.49%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 02:00
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.23%E -2.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.09%E -5.49%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 02:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.23%E -2.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.09%E -5.49%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 02:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.23%E -2.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.09%E -5.49%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 02:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.40%EV -8.07%E -6.07%K -24.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -15.09%E -5.49%K -8.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-07 01:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-07 01:45
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-07 02:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-07 02:01
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 70.40%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.60%1.5%2026-08-07 02:00
ProphetX1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-08-07 02:01
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%3.2%2026-08-07 02:01