Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Anastasia Potapova

Kickoff: 2026-08-04 19:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

49%

51%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Prediction 49.20%2.03fair odd

EV -0.623%

Edge -0.309%

Kelly -0.611%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.24%49.15%49.21%51.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.831.931.922.0254.64%51.94%52.08%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anastasia Potapova (Visit)

Prediction 50.80%1.97fair odd

EV -0.933%

Edge -0.478%

Kelly -0.982%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.82%50.85%50.79%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.721.861.851.9558.14%53.70%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local): 49.20%; Anastasia Potapova (Visit): 50.80%. For Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -0.623%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.623%E -0.309%K -0.611%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.54%E -4.14%K -9.19%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-04 19:04
Winamax (DE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -1.61%E -0.804%K -1.61%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -5.51%E -2.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-04 13:15
Tipico (DE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -1.61%E -0.804%K -1.61%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -12.62%E -7.34%K -17.52%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-04 16:45
Winamax (FR)	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -2.59%E -1.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -6.52%E -3.54%K -7.76%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-04 16:44
Betclic (FR)	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.59%E -1.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 18:27
Unibet (UK)	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.08%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.52%E -3.54%K -7.76%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 18:34
Unibet (FR)	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.08%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.52%E -3.54%K -7.76%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 18:35
ReBet	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.08%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.52%E -3.54%K -7.76%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 18:35
Coolbet	1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.58%E -1.82%K -3.72%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.46%E -1.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-04 18:35
LiveScore Bet	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.58%E -1.82%K -3.72%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.52%E -3.54%K -7.76%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 18:35
Virgin Bet	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.58%E -1.82%K -3.72%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.52%E -3.54%K -7.76%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 18:35
Marathon Bet	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 19:04
Unibet	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:35
Casumo	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:35
Grosvenor	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:35
Unibet (NL)	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:35
Unibet (SE)	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:35
BetRivers	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:35
TABtouch	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:35
betPARX	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:35
ATG (SE)	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:35
Bally Bet	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:35
Svenska Spel	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:35
Hard Rock Bet	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:35
Betway	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:35
NordicBet	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.54%E -4.14%K -9.19%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-04 18:35
Betsson	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.54%E -4.14%K -9.19%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-04 18:34
Caesars	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.69%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-04 13:55
Pinnacle	1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.743%K -1.53%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-04 18:35
PointsBet (AU)	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.05%E -2.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.00%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 18:35
Dabble (AU)	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.54%E -2.89%K -6.02%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.49%E -2.39%K -5.10%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 18:29
LeoVegas	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.54%E -2.89%K -6.02%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-04 18:35
PMU (FR)	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.54%E -2.89%K -6.02%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -8.05%E -4.45%K -9.93%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-04 18:35
betfred_uk	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 18:35
Fanatics	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 18:35
theScore Bet	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 18:35
Bovada	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 18:34
BoyleSports	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 16:45
888sport	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 17:50
William Hill	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 17:49
Mr Green (SE)	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 17:50
888sport (SE)	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 17:49
LowVig.ag	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 18:34
BetOnline.ag	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 18:35
BetAnything	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 17:55
BetMGM	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-04 13:45
Coral	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-04 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-04 13:44
TAB	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.47%E -1.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 18:29
PlayUp	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.00%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-04 18:29
Neds	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 13:44
SportsBet	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.51%E -4.00%K -8.53%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.46%E -1.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 18:34
BetUS	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.20%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-04 13:15
Bet Victor	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.20%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-04 18:33
betano_uk	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.20%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-04 18:34
DraftKings	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.57%K -9.88%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -0.933%E -0.478%K -0.982%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-04 17:55
FanDuel	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.49%E -4.57%K -9.88%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.44%E -0.743%K -1.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 18:34
Betr (AU)	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.57%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.47%E -1.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 18:35
Paddy Power	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.97%E -5.45%K -12.01%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-04 18:35
Sky Bet	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.97%E -5.45%K -12.01%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-04 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.97%E -5.45%K -12.01%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-04 18:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
ProphetX	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%	1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%	0.3%	2026-08-04 18:35
Matchbook	2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%	1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%	0.3%	2026-08-04 18:35
Novig	1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%	0.5%	2026-08-04 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%	0.5%	2026-08-04 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%	0.5%	2026-08-04 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%	0.5%	2026-08-04 18:35
Smarkets	1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%	1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%	2.1%	2026-08-04 18:35