Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Anastasia Potapova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-04 19:12 UTC

Score final : Elena Gabriela Ruse 0–2 Anastasia Potapova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Prévision 49.20%2.03cote équitable
EV -0.623%
Avantage -0.309%
Kelly -0.611%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.24%49.15%49.21%51.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.931.922.0254.64%51.94%52.08%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Anastasia Potapova (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.80%1.97cote équitable
EV -0.933%
Avantage -0.478%
Kelly -0.982%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.82%50.85%50.79%53.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.721.861.851.9558.14%53.70%54.05%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local) : 49.20% ; Anastasia Potapova (Visiteur) : 50.80%. Pour Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.03. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.02, pour une espérance de -0.623% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.623%E -0.309%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.54%E -4.14%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 19:04
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -1.61%E -0.804%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -5.51%E -2.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 13:15
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -1.61%E -0.804%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -12.62%E -7.34%K -17.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 16:45
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -2.59%E -1.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -6.52%E -3.54%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 16:44
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.59%E -1.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 18:27
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.08%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.52%E -3.54%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.08%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.52%E -3.54%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 18:35
ReBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.08%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.52%E -3.54%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 18:35
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.58%E -1.82%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.46%E -1.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.58%E -1.82%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.52%E -3.54%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:35
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.58%E -1.82%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.52%E -3.54%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:35
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 19:04
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:35
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:35
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:35
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:35
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:35
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:35
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:35
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:35
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:35
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:35
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:35
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.54%E -4.14%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:35
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.54%E -4.14%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:34
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 13:55
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.743%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.05%E -2.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.00%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.54%E -2.89%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.49%E -2.39%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:29
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.54%E -2.89%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:35
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.54%E -2.89%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -8.05%E -4.45%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 18:35
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:35
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:35
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:35
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:34
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 16:45
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 17:50
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 17:49
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 17:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 17:49
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:35
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 17:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 13:45
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 13:44
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.47%E -1.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:29
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.00%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:29
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:44
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.51%E -4.00%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.46%E -1.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:34
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 13:15
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 18:33
betano_uk1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.00%E -4.28%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 18:34
DraftKings1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.57%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -0.933%E -0.478%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:55
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.49%E -4.57%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.44%E -0.743%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:34
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.47%E -1.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 18:35
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.97%E -5.45%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 18:35
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.97%E -5.45%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.97%E -5.45%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.97%E -1.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-04 18:35
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-04 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-04 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-04 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-04 18:35
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-08-04 18:35