Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ekaterina Alexandrova v Elina Svitolina

Início: 2026-08-11 00:32 UTC

Final: Ekaterina Alexandrova 1–2 Elina Svitolina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)

Previsão 30.34%3.30odd justa
EV +1.32%
Vantagem +0.396%
Kelly +0.565%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.60%31.27%30.23%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.833.103.153.3454.64%32.21%31.75%29.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elina Svitolina (Visitante)

Previsão 69.66%1.44odd justa
EV +27.48%
Vantagem +15.02%
Kelly +33.11%
Crescimento +9.10%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%68.73%69.77%71.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.311.371.361.8376.34%73.12%73.53%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local): 30.34%; Elina Svitolina (Visitante): 69.66%. Para Elina Svitolina (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.44. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.83, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +27.48%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -44.48%E -24.31%K -53.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +27.48%E +15.02%K +33.11%G +9.10%9.3%2026-08-11 00:25
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.72%EV -3.53%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.28%EV -1.77%E -1.26%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 00:20
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-11 00:25
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 06:50
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 00:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 00:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 00:24
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -3.83%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 00:25
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 00:24
DraftKings🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -7.17%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 00:25
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 00:24
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 00:24
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 00:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 13:55
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.41%E -0.433%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 15:49
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 00:24
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 19:15
GTbets🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 01:05
Fanatics🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.109%E +0.033%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 22:24
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 15:50
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 15:19
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 13:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 15:50
ReBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:10
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:50
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:54
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:54
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:55
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:55
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:55
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 00:19
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 00:24
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 10:45
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:35
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 00:24
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV +1.32%E +0.396%K +0.565%G +0.007%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV +1.32%E +0.396%K +0.565%G +0.007%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 21:20
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 15:50
NordicBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -5.05%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 00:19
Betsson🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -5.05%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 00:20
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 23:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 06:54
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.109%E +0.033%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 15:50
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.109%E +0.033%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 15:49
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.41%E -0.433%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.41%E -0.433%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 15:50
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.41%E -0.433%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 15:50
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 13:54
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 15:14
SportsBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -0.801%E -0.245%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 15:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-11 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-11 00:25
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-11 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-11 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-11 00:25
Novig◎3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77%0.9%2026-08-11 00:25
ProphetX◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%1.3%2026-08-11 00:25