Idioma:Español
Ekaterina Alexandrova v Elina Svitolina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)
Predicción 30.34%3.30momio equitativo
EV +1.32%
Ventaja +0.396%
Kelly +0.565%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.60%31.27%30.23%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.833.103.153.3454.64%32.21%31.75%29.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elina Svitolina (Visitante)
Predicción 69.66%1.44momio equitativo
EV +27.48%
Ventaja +15.02%
Kelly +33.11%
Crecimiento +9.10%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%68.73%69.77%71.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.311.371.361.8376.34%73.12%73.53%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local): 30.34%; Elina Svitolina (Visitante): 69.66%. Para Elina Svitolina (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.44. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.83, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +27.48%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -44.48%E -24.31%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +27.48%E +15.02%K +33.11%G +9.10% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.72%EV -3.53%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.28%EV -1.77%E -1.26%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-11 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 06:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -3.83%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 00:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -7.17%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 00:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 00:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-10 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-10 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.41%E -0.433%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-10 15:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-10 19:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.109%E +0.033%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 15:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 13:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 07:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 15:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 06:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 06:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 06:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 06:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 06:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 06:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 06:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 06:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 06:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 06:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 06:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 06:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 06:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 06:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 00:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 10:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 00:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV +1.32%E +0.396%K +0.565%G +0.007% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV +1.32%E +0.396%K +0.565%G +0.007% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -5.05%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 00:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -5.05%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 00:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 23:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 06:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.109%E +0.033%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 15:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.109%E +0.033%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 15:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.41%E -0.433%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.41%E -0.433%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.41%E -0.433%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-10 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 15:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -0.801%E -0.245%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 15:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 1.3% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |