Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ekaterina Alexandrova v Elina Svitolina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-11 00:32 UTC

Score final : Ekaterina Alexandrova 1–2 Elina Svitolina

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)

Prévision 30.34%3.30cote équitable
EV +1.32%
Avantage +0.396%
Kelly +0.565%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.60%31.27%30.23%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.833.103.153.3454.64%32.21%31.75%29.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Elina Svitolina (Visiteur)

Prévision 69.66%1.44cote équitable
EV +27.48%
Avantage +15.02%
Kelly +33.11%
Croissance +9.10%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%68.73%69.77%71.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.311.371.361.8376.34%73.12%73.53%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local) : 30.34% ; Elina Svitolina (Visiteur) : 69.66%. Pour Elina Svitolina (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.44. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.83, soit une espérance positive de +27.48%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -44.48%E -24.31%K -53.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +27.48%E +15.02%K +33.11%G +9.10%9.3%2026-08-11 00:25
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.72%EV -3.53%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.28%EV -1.77%E -1.26%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 00:20
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-11 00:25
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 06:50
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 00:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 00:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.47%E -1.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 00:24
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -3.83%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 00:25
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 00:24
DraftKings🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -7.17%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 00:25
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 00:24
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 00:24
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 00:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 13:55
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.41%E -0.433%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 15:49
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 00:24
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 19:15
GTbets🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 01:05
Fanatics🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.109%E +0.033%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 22:24
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 15:50
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 15:19
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 13:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 15:50
ReBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:10
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:50
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:54
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:54
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:55
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:55
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:55
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 00:19
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 00:24
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 10:45
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:35
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 00:24
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV +1.32%E +0.396%K +0.565%G +0.007%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV +1.32%E +0.396%K +0.565%G +0.007%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 21:20
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 15:50
NordicBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -5.05%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 00:19
Betsson🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -5.05%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 00:20
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 23:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 06:54
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.109%E +0.033%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 15:50
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.109%E +0.033%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 15:49
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.41%E -0.433%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.41%E -0.433%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 15:50
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.41%E -0.433%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.92%E -0.914%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 15:50
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 13:54
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 15:14
SportsBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -0.801%E -0.245%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-11 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-11 00:25
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-11 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-11 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-11 00:25
Novig◎3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77%0.9%2026-08-11 00:25
ProphetX◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%1.3%2026-08-11 00:25