Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Donna Vekic v Viktorija Golubic

Início: 2026-08-04 16:42 UTC

Final: Donna Vekic 1–2 Viktorija Golubic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Donna Vekic (Local)

Previsão 56.07%1.78odd justa
EV -1.31%
Vantagem -0.744%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.38%56.13%55.99%57.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.671.671.7663.69%59.74%59.88%56.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Viktorija Golubic (Visitante)

Previsão 43.93%2.28odd justa
EV -0.727%
Vantagem -0.322%
Kelly -0.577%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.35%43.87%44.01%45.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.152.172.2648.78%46.42%46.19%44.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Donna Vekic (Local): 56.07%; Viktorija Golubic (Visitante): 43.93%. Para Viktorija Golubic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.28. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.26, com valor esperado de -0.727%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -1.31%E -0.744%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 16:19
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:00
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -9.07%E -4.38%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 16:15
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 10:09
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.41%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.41%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.11%E -2.41%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.17%E -0.519%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-03 21:35
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:40
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 15:30
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.23%E -3.10%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:39
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.23%E -3.10%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 21:44
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.48%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 11:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 07:55
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 21:39
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:44
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:40
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:40
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 09:48
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 09:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:29
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:39
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -6.92%E -4.17%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -0.727%E -0.322%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 07:15
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 16:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 07:10
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 16:39
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -5.12%E -2.37%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -5.12%E -2.37%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.04%E -4.90%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.04%E -4.90%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.04%E -4.90%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.16%E -5.65%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 16:39
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.16%E -5.65%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -11.96%E -7.62%K -20.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.25%EV -9.51%E -4.62%K -8.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-04 16:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 16:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 16:40
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-04 16:40
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-04 16:40
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-08-04 16:40