Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Donna Vekic v Viktorija Golubic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-04 16:42 UTC

Score final : Donna Vekic 1–2 Viktorija Golubic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Donna Vekic (Local)

Prévision 56.07%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.744%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.38%56.13%55.99%57.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.671.671.7663.69%59.74%59.88%56.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Viktorija Golubic (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.93%2.28cote équitable
EV -0.727%
Avantage -0.322%
Kelly -0.577%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.35%43.87%44.01%45.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.152.172.2648.78%46.42%46.19%44.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Donna Vekic (Local) : 56.07% ; Viktorija Golubic (Visiteur) : 43.93%. Pour Viktorija Golubic (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.28. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.26, pour une espérance de -0.727% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -1.31%E -0.744%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 16:19
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:00
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -9.07%E -4.38%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 16:15
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 10:09
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.41%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.41%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.11%E -2.41%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.17%E -0.519%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-03 21:35
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:40
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 15:30
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.23%E -3.10%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:39
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.23%E -3.10%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 21:44
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.48%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 11:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 07:55
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 21:39
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:44
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:40
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:40
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 09:48
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 09:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:29
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:39
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -6.92%E -4.17%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -0.727%E -0.322%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 07:15
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 16:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 07:10
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 16:39
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -5.12%E -2.37%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -5.12%E -2.37%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.04%E -4.90%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.04%E -4.90%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.04%E -4.90%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.16%E -5.65%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 16:39
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.16%E -5.65%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -11.96%E -7.62%K -20.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.25%EV -9.51%E -4.62%K -8.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-04 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 16:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 16:40
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-04 16:40
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-04 16:40
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-08-04 16:40