Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Donna Vekic v Viktorija Golubic

2026-08-05 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Donna Vekic (Local)

Predicción 57.32%1.74momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -4.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.47%57.41%57.20%58.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.651.661.6963.69%60.66%60.24%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Viktorija Golubic (Visitante)

Predicción 42.68%2.34momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -2.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.10%42.59%42.80%43.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.192.202.2848.78%45.56%45.45%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Donna Vekic (Local): 57.32%; Viktorija Golubic (Visitante): 42.68%. Para Viktorija Golubic (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.34. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.28, con un valor esperado de -2.69%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 07:30
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:30
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:30
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:30
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:30
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:30
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:30
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.83%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 07:15
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.68%E -2.57%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 07:14
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:35
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:15
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:15
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 07:15
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 07:09
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 07:15
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 07:14
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.83%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 07:13
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 07:10
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.99%E -3.65%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.69%E -1.18%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 07:09
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.99%E -3.65%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 07:14
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -5.99%E -3.65%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -8.67%E -4.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 06:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.57%E -4.03%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 07:19
Unibet (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.57%E -4.03%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.96%E -3.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 07:09
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 07:10
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 07:10
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 07:19
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.81%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 07:09
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 07:09
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.14%E -4.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.24%E -3.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 06:40
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 07:14
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 07:19
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 07:10
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -8.29%E -5.18%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.13%EV -9.95%E -4.71%K -8.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-03 07:09
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.43%E -5.97%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 07:10
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.97%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 07:00
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.63%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.37%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-03 07:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 56.68%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.32%11.0%2026-08-03 07:55
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 56.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%11.0%2026-08-03 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 66.67%2.06I 48.54%NM 33.33%45.6%2026-08-03 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 66.67%2.06I 48.54%NM 33.33%45.6%2026-08-03 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 66.67%2.06I 48.54%NM 33.33%45.6%2026-08-03 07:55