Language:English
Aoi Ito v Katherine Sebov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aoi Ito (Local)
Prediction 58.92%1.70fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -4.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.29%58.92%58.89%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.621.6565.36%62.14%61.73%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Katherine Sebov (Visit)
Prediction 41.08%2.43fair odd
EV -0.986%
Edge -0.409%
Kelly -0.699%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%41.08%41.11%42.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.292.4145.45%43.68%43.76%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aoi Ito (Local): 58.92%; Katherine Sebov (Visit): 41.08%. For Katherine Sebov (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.41, with an expected value of -0.986%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 10:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 20:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 15:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -0.986%E -0.409%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 19:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.40%E -0.582%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 13:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 20:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 15:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 19:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 12:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.40%E -0.582%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 15:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.74%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.04%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.74%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.86%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.74%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 06:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.74%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.74%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.74%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 13:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.74%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.32%E -3.98%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -5.92%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.32%E -3.98%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.91%E -4.38%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 19:36 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -6.91%E -4.38%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -5.92%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 15:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.68%E -5.60%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 19:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.20%EV -9.86%E -6.44%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.80%EV -8.79%E -3.96%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 19:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49% | 2.5% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
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