Idioma:Español
Aoi Ito v Katherine Sebov
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aoi Ito (Local)
Predicción 58.92%1.70momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -4.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.29%58.92%58.89%59.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.611.621.6565.36%62.14%61.73%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Katherine Sebov (Visitante)
Predicción 41.08%2.43momio equitativo
EV -0.986%
Ventaja -0.409%
Kelly -0.699%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.15%41.08%41.11%42.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.292.292.4145.45%43.68%43.76%41.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Aoi Ito (Local): 58.92%; Katherine Sebov (Visitante): 41.08%. Para Katherine Sebov (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.43. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.41, con un valor esperado de -0.986%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 10:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 20:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 15:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -0.986%E -0.409%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 19:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.40%E -0.582%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 13:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 20:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 15:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 19:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 12:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.56%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.40%E -0.582%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 15:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.09%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.74%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.04%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.74%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.86%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.74%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 06:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.74%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.74%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.74%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 13:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.74%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.32%E -3.98%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -5.92%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.32%E -3.98%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.91%E -4.38%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 19:36 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -6.91%E -4.38%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -5.92%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 15:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.68%E -5.60%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 19:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.20%EV -9.86%E -6.44%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.80%EV -8.79%E -3.96%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 19:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49% | 2.5% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |