Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Aoi Ito v Katherine Sebov

2026-08-02 17:40 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Aoi Ito (Local)

Predicción 58.68%1.70momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -4.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.29%58.71%58.75%59.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.611.621.6565.36%62.01%61.73%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Katherine Sebov (Visitante)

Predicción 41.32%2.42momio equitativo
EV -0.834%
Ventaja -0.348%
Kelly -0.596%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.15%41.29%41.25%42.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.282.282.4046.51%43.79%43.86%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Aoi Ito (Local): 58.68%; Katherine Sebov (Visitante): 41.32%. Para Katherine Sebov (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.42. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.40, con un valor esperado de -0.834%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 10:44
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 10:45
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 12:54
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 14:23
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.76%E -2.29%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.76%E -2.29%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:29
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.35%E -2.67%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 15:09
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -1.25%E -0.522%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 15:15
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.14%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:04
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:45
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:30
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:45
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:39
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.38%E -2.35%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:40
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:30
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:29
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:29
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:29
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:30
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:29
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:29
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:30
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:30
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:29
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:55
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:54
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:24
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.834%E -0.348%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 15:10
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 15:09
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.55%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:03
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:55
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 13:40
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:44
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 10:35
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.49%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:09
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 06:29
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:10
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:19
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:35
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.79%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:34
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -7.28%E -4.61%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -5.38%E -2.35%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:44
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 15:09
betano_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 15:05
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.03%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 15:05
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:05
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.63%E -6.25%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 13:45
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -10.22%E -6.68%K -19.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 15:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-02 15:10
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-02 15:10
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-08-02 15:03
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%2.7%2026-08-02 15:05