Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Kalinskaya v Diana Shnaider

Kickoff: 2026-08-06 17:26 UTC

Final: Anna Kalinskaya 0–2 Diana Shnaider

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Kalinskaya (Local)

Prediction 44.56%2.24fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.690%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%44.67%44.49%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.102.102.2153.48%47.65%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diana Shnaider (Visit)

Prediction 55.44%1.80fair odd
EV +3.68%
Edge +1.97%
Kelly +4.22%
Growth +0.155%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%55.33%55.51%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.731.731.8762.50%57.93%57.80%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Kalinskaya (Local): 44.56%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 55.44%. For Diana Shnaider (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -16.68%E -8.92%K -19.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +3.68%E +1.97%K +4.22%G +0.155%7.0%2026-08-06 17:25
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.760%E -0.424%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 11:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 02:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 15:40
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.53%E -0.690%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 17:25
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.86%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 17:23
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.99%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 11:15
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.99%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 14:30
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 15:19
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 08:55
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.31%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.31%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 17:20
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:25
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 15:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 15:20
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 02:45
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:00
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 11:15
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.31%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 15:20
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 17:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -9.99%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 02:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -5.09%E -2.39%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 17:24
DraftKings🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.98%E -2.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 17:20
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 13:55
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 16:25
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 16:05
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.31%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.31%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 17:23
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 10:54
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.97%E -0.896%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 14:30
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 17:12
NordicBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 14:30
Betsson🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 17:13
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 17:20
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 17:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.97%E -0.896%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 17:20
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.97%E -0.896%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.90%EV -5.09%E -2.39%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.10%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-06 17:25
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-06 17:25
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%0.6%2026-08-06 17:25
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-08-06 17:25
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%1.6%2026-08-06 17:20