Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Anna Kalinskaya v Diana Shnaider

Inicio: 2026-08-06 17:26 UTC

Final: Anna Kalinskaya 0–2 Diana Shnaider

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Anna Kalinskaya (Local)

Predicción 44.56%2.24momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.690%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.11%44.67%44.49%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.872.102.102.2153.48%47.65%47.62%45.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Predicción 55.44%1.80momio equitativo
EV +3.68%
Ventaja +1.97%
Kelly +4.22%
Crecimiento +0.155%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%55.33%55.51%57.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.731.731.8762.50%57.93%57.80%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Anna Kalinskaya (Local): 44.56%; Diana Shnaider (Visitante): 55.44%. Para Diana Shnaider (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.80. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.87, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.68%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -16.68%E -8.92%K -19.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +3.68%E +1.97%K +4.22%G +0.155%7.0%2026-08-06 17:25
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.760%E -0.424%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 11:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 02:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 15:40
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.76%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 02:40
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.53%E -0.690%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 17:25
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.86%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 17:23
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.99%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 11:15
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.99%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 14:30
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 15:19
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 08:55
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.31%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.31%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 17:20
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:25
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 15:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 15:20
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 02:45
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:00
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 14:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 11:15
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.31%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 15:20
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 17:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -9.99%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 02:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -5.09%E -2.39%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 17:24
DraftKings🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.98%E -2.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 17:20
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 13:55
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 16:25
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 16:05
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.31%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.31%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 17:23
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 10:54
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.97%E -0.896%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 14:30
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 17:12
NordicBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 14:30
Betsson🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 17:13
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 17:20
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 17:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.97%E -0.896%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 17:20
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.97%E -0.896%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.90%EV -5.09%E -2.39%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.10%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 17:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-06 17:25
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-06 17:25
ProphetX◎2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%0.6%2026-08-06 17:25
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-08-06 17:25
Novig◎2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%1.6%2026-08-06 17:20