Language:English
Ann Li v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ann Li (Local)
Prediction 17.26%5.79fair odd
EV +7.03%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.095%
assuming max odds 6.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.30%17.26%17.29%19.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.495.506.2021.05%18.23%18.18%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 82.74%1.21fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -13.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.10%82.74%82.71%84.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.141.141.1892.59%87.71%87.72%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ann Li (Local): 17.26%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 82.74%. For Ann Li (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.79. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +7.03%E +1.13%K +1.35%G +0.095% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +3.57%E +0.596%K +0.715%G +0.026% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.02%E -3.47%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 16:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.57%E +0.596%K +0.715%G +0.026% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.57%E +0.596%K +0.715%G +0.026% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.97I 16.75%NM 16.27%EV +3.06%E +0.512%K +0.615%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.73%EV -4.02%E -3.47%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +1.85%E +0.313%K +0.377%G +0.007% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -4.02%E -3.47%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.122%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.122%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.122%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.122%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.122%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.122%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.741%E -0.129%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.741%E -0.129%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.741%E -0.129%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.741%E -0.129%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -1.60%E -0.282%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -1.60%E -0.282%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 16:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.64I 17.73%NM 17.06%EV -2.64%E -0.468%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.94%EV -4.02%E -3.47%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.64I 17.73%NM 17.06%EV -2.64%E -0.468%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.94%EV -4.02%E -3.47%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.64I 17.73%NM 17.06%EV -2.64%E -0.468%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.94%EV -4.02%E -3.47%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.33%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.33%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.33%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.33%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.33%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.33%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -4.19%E -0.756%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 14:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -5.92%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 16:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 16:36 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 16:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.08%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.18%EV -7.65%E -1.43%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.82%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.37%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.37%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.37%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.37%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.24%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -10.24%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.80%EV -10.64%E -9.85%K -133.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -11.96%E -2.35%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-07 16:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.69%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.69%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 21:41 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.69%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 16:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.69%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 15:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.69%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 16:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.69%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 13:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.69%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -17.14%E -3.57%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 00:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -17.14%E -3.57%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 00:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -18.00%E -3.79%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.37%E -2.01%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.51% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.49% | 2.7% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |