Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ann Li v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-07 16:38 UTC

Score final : Ann Li 0–2 Elena Rybakina

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ann Li (Local)

Prévision 17.26%5.79cote équitable
EV +7.03%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.095%

avec la cote maximale 6.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.30%17.26%17.29%19.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.495.506.2021.05%18.23%18.18%16.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 82.74%1.21cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -13.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.10%82.74%82.71%84.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.081.141.141.1892.59%87.71%87.72%84.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ann Li (Local) : 17.26% ; Elena Rybakina (Visiteur) : 82.74%. Pour Ann Li (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.79. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.20, soit une espérance positive de +7.03%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +7.03%E +1.13%K +1.35%G +0.095%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 16:35
Coolbet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +3.57%E +0.596%K +0.715%G +0.026%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.02%E -3.47%K -25.15%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 16:01
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.57%E +0.596%K +0.715%G +0.026%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 15:00
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.57%E +0.596%K +0.715%G +0.026%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 15:00
Pinnacle🎯5.97I 16.75%NM 16.27%EV +3.06%E +0.512%K +0.615%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.73%EV -4.02%E -3.47%K -25.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-07 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +1.85%E +0.313%K +0.377%G +0.007%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -4.02%E -3.47%K -25.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 16:00
Unibet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.122%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.122%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 16:35
BetRivers🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.122%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 16:35
Grosvenor🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.122%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.122%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.122%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.741%E -0.129%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:35
Casumo🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.741%E -0.129%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.741%E -0.129%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 16:35
betPARX🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.741%E -0.129%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -1.60%E -0.282%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 15:55
Fanatics🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -1.60%E -0.282%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 16:01
GTbets🎯5.64I 17.73%NM 17.06%EV -2.64%E -0.468%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.94%EV -4.02%E -3.47%K -25.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯5.64I 17.73%NM 17.06%EV -2.64%E -0.468%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.94%EV -4.02%E -3.47%K -25.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯5.64I 17.73%NM 17.06%EV -2.64%E -0.468%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.94%EV -4.02%E -3.47%K -25.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 16:25
ReBet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.33%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.33%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 16:35
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.33%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.33%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 16:35
Bally Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.33%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.33%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 16:05
1xBet🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -4.19%E -0.756%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 16:26
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 11:35
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 13:45
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:35
Bovada🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:36
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 15:55
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 14:56
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 16:00
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 15:55
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 15:55
LeoVegas🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 16:35
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 15:55
BetUS🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.06%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -5.92%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 16:05
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 16:36
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 16:34
SportsBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.51%E -5.76%K -50.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.08%EV -8.99%E -8.17%K -89.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 16:35
Fliff🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.18%EV -7.65%E -1.43%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.82%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 16:35
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.37%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 16:35
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.37%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.37%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 00:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.37%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.24%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -7.33%E -6.55%K -61.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -10.24%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 82.80%EV -10.64%E -9.85%K -133.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-07 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -11.96%E -2.35%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -8.16%E -7.35%K -74.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-07 16:34
Dabble (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.69%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 16:05
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.69%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 21:41
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.69%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.85%E -4.22%K -32.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 16:10
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.69%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 15:55
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.69%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 16:01
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.69%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 13:19
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.69%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.68%E -4.98%K -40.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 16:00
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -17.14%E -3.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 00:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -17.14%E -3.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.20%E -2.73%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 00:01
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -18.00%E -3.79%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.37%E -2.01%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-07 16:15
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-07 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-07 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-07 16:15
Matchbook◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-07 16:15
ProphetX◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47%1.9%2026-08-07 16:35
Novig◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.51%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.49%2.7%2026-08-07 16:35