Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.59
assuming max odds 2.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anhelina Kalinina (Local): 62.08%; Anna Bondár (Visit): 37.92%. For Anna Bondár (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.62, with an expected value of -0.652%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -1.29%E -0.812%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -5.58%E -2.24%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -1.29%E -0.812%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -5.58%E -2.24%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.812%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 14:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.44%E -1.76%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 15:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -7.48%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 14:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 15:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 15:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.89%E -4.63%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.89%E -4.63%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.89%E -4.63%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 14:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.82%E -1.92%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 10:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 12:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 12:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 12:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 11:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 14:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 14:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 08:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -4.44%E -1.76%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 12:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -6.72%E -2.73%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -6.72%E -2.73%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 09:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 14:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.652%E -0.249%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 15:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 15:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 10:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 10:53 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -5.96%E -2.40%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 04:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.74%E -5.95%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.74%E -5.95%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-03 15:03 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.98%E -6.88%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -10.60%E -7.36%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 0.2% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38% | 1.7% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
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