Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Anhelina Kalinina v Anna Bondár

Inicio: 2026-08-03 15:06 UTC

Final: Anhelina Kalinina 0–2 Anna Bondár

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Anhelina Kalinina (Local)

Predicción 62.08%1.61momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.812%
Kelly -2.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.15%62.15%62.03%63.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.521.521.5969.44%65.74%65.79%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anna Bondár (Visitante)

Predicción 37.92%2.64momio equitativo
EV -0.652%
Ventaja -0.249%
Kelly -0.402%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.25%37.85%37.97%39.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.492.502.6242.55%40.08%40.00%38.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Anhelina Kalinina (Local): 62.08%; Anna Bondár (Visitante): 37.92%. Para Anna Bondár (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.64. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.62, con un valor esperado de -0.652%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -1.29%E -0.812%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -5.58%E -2.24%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -1.29%E -0.812%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -5.58%E -2.24%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 14:35
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.812%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 14:59
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.44%E -1.76%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 14:40
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-03 15:04
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -7.48%E -3.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 14:29
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 15:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 15:04
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 15:04
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 14:35
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.89%E -4.63%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 14:35
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.89%E -4.63%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.89%E -4.63%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 14:35
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 14:35
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 14:35
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 14:50
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.82%E -1.92%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 10:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 12:04
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 12:05
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 12:10
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 11:35
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 14:30
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 14:49
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 13:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 08:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -4.44%E -1.76%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -6.72%E -2.73%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 15:00
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -6.72%E -2.73%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 09:14
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.41%E -0.542%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 14:04
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.652%E -0.249%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 15:04
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -2.93%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 15:05
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:14
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:14
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:14
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:15
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:15
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:10
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 15:05
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 15:04
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 10:55
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 10:53
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -5.96%E -2.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 04:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.74%E -5.95%K -18.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.74%E -5.95%K -18.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 15:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.98%E -6.88%K -22.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 13:49
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -10.60%E -7.36%K -24.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 15:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-08-03 15:05
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-03 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-03 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-03 15:05
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%1.7%2026-08-03 15:05