Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iva Jović v Xinyu Wang

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 10:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iva Jović (Local)

Prediction 71.04%1.41fair odd
EV +10.11%
Edge +6.52%
Kelly +18.38%
Growth +1.86%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%70.50%71.11%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.321.321.5579.37%75.53%75.76%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Xinyu Wang (Visit)

Prediction 28.96%3.45fair odd
EV +4.27%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%29.50%28.89%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.403.323.353.6041.67%30.14%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iva Jović (Local): 71.04%; Xinyu Wang (Visit): 28.96%. For Iva Jović (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +10.11%E +6.52%K +18.38%G +1.86%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -30.49%E -12.70%K -21.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-22 09:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -1.97%E -1.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 09:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -1.97%E -1.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 09:29
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -2.68%E -1.96%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-22 09:30
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -2.68%E -1.96%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 09:24
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 09:27
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 09:29
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.77%E -2.78%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 09:28
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.21%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:29
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.21%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.21%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.21%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -2.10%E -0.623%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-22 09:24
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.97%E -0.888%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 09:30
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 09:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +1.37%E +0.392%K +0.548%G +0.008%3.2%2026-06-22 09:29
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.53%E -0.449%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 09:24
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -1.82%E -0.536%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.97%E -0.888%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 09:29
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 09:29
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 09:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 09:30
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 09:28
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 09:29
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 09:27
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 09:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.53%E -0.449%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 09:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.53%E -0.449%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 09:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.53%E -0.449%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 09:29
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.53%E -0.449%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 09:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.97%E -0.888%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 09:30
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.97%E -0.888%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 09:29
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.97%E -0.888%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 09:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 09:39
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.77%E -2.78%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 09:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.77%E -2.78%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 09:30
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.65%E -5.89%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.65%E -5.89%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.65%E -5.89%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 09:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.65%E -5.89%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 09:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.65%E -5.89%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 09:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.27%E +1.19%K +1.64%G +0.070%5.3%2026-06-22 09:28
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:28
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.07%E -7.09%K -32.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -0.078%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.07%E -7.09%K -32.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -0.078%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 09:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.78%E -7.70%K -36.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.53%E -0.449%K -0.636%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 09:29
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -10.49%E -8.33%K -40.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +4.27%E +1.19%K +1.64%G +0.070%7.1%2026-06-22 09:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-22 09:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-22 09:28
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-22 09:28
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%2.9%2026-06-22 09:27
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%3.4%2026-06-22 09:33
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%4.0%2026-06-22 09:30