La escuela de los momios

Iva Jović v Xinyu Wang

Inicio: 2026-06-22 10:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Iva Jović (Local)

Predicción 71.04%1.41momio equitativo
EV +10.11%
Ventaja +6.52%
Kelly +18.38%
Crecimiento +1.86%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.76%70.50%71.11%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.321.321.5579.37%75.53%75.76%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Xinyu Wang (Visitante)

Predicción 28.96%3.45momio equitativo
EV +4.27%
Ventaja +1.19%
Kelly +1.64%
Crecimiento +0.070%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%29.50%28.89%39.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.403.323.353.6041.67%30.14%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +10.11%E +6.52%K +18.38%G +1.86%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -30.49%E -12.70%K -21.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-22 09:49
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -1.97%E -1.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 09:29
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -1.97%E -1.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 09:29
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -2.68%E -1.96%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-22 09:30
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -2.68%E -1.96%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 09:24
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 09:27
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 09:29
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.77%E -2.78%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 09:28
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.21%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:29
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.21%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:30
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.21%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:29
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.21%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:30
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -2.10%E -0.623%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-22 09:24
BetAnything1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.97%E -0.888%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 09:30
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 09:29
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +1.37%E +0.392%K +0.548%G +0.008%3.2%2026-06-22 09:29
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.53%E -0.449%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 09:24
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -1.82%E -0.536%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.97%E -0.888%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 09:29
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 09:29
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 09:30
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 09:30
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 09:28
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 09:29
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 09:27
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 09:29
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.53%E -0.449%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 09:29
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.53%E -0.449%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 09:29
Dabble (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.53%E -0.449%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 09:29
ReBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.53%E -0.449%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 09:29
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.97%E -0.888%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 09:30
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.97%E -0.888%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 09:29
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.97%E -0.888%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 09:29
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 09:39
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.77%E -2.78%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 09:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.77%E -2.78%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 09:30
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.65%E -5.89%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.65%E -5.89%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.65%E -5.89%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 09:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.65%E -5.89%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 09:29
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.65%E -5.89%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 09:29
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.27%E +1.19%K +1.64%G +0.070%5.3%2026-06-22 09:28
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:29
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.36%E -6.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.82%E +0.794%K +1.11%G +0.031%5.7%2026-06-22 09:28
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.07%E -7.09%K -32.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -0.078%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 09:29
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.07%E -7.09%K -32.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -0.078%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 09:29
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.78%E -7.70%K -36.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.53%E -0.449%K -0.636%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 09:29
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -10.49%E -8.33%K -40.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +4.27%E +1.19%K +1.64%G +0.070%7.1%2026-06-22 09:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-22 09:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-22 09:28
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-22 09:28
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%2.9%2026-06-22 09:27
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%3.4%2026-06-22 09:33
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%4.0%2026-06-22 09:30