Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.35
assuming max odds 1.67
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ann Li (Local): 41.90%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit): 58.10%. For Ann Li (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -1.54%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.54%E -0.657%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-23 06:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.54%E -0.657%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-23 06:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.54%E -0.657%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-23 06:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-23 06:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-23 06:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-23 07:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-23 06:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-23 06:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.94%E -6.41%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-23 06:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.06%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.29%E -3.25%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 06:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.48%E -1.96%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.20%E -5.19%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-23 06:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 06:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-23 06:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-23 06:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-23 06:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-23 06:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.31%E -2.35%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-23 07:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-23 07:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-23 07:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-23 06:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-23 07:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.29%E -3.25%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-23 07:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-23 06:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-23 06:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-23 06:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-23 06:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-23 06:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.40%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 06:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-23 06:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.57%E -2.95%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.57%E -2.95%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.42%EV -6.99%E -3.15%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-23 07:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 07:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 07:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 07:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 07:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 07:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 02:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.03%E -4.40%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.03%E -4.40%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-23 06:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.92%E -4.62%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-23 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.92%E -4.62%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-23 02:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.92%E -4.62%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-23 07:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.92%E -4.62%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-23 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.92%E -4.62%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-23 02:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-06-23 07:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-06-23 07:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-06-23 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-06-23 07:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-06-23 07:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25% | 2.8% | 2026-06-23 07:40 |