La escuela de los momios

Ann Li v Ekaterina Alexandrova

Inicio: 2026-06-23 09:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ann Li (Local)

Predicción 41.90%2.39momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.657%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.26%41.96%41.90%43.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.252.252.3546.51%44.52%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante)

Predicción 58.10%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -4.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.73%58.04%58.10%59.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.641.6764.52%61.27%60.98%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.54%E -0.657%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-23 06:19
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.54%E -0.657%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-23 06:50
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.54%E -0.657%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-23 06:50
BetOnline.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-23 06:49
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-23 06:49
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 07:29
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 06:49
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 06:50
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.94%E -6.41%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-23 06:50
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.06%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.29%E -3.25%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 06:50
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.48%E -1.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.20%E -5.19%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 06:49
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 06:50
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 06:58
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 06:49
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 06:49
ReBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 06:49
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.31%E -2.35%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 07:09
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 07:39
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 07:40
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 06:50
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 07:09
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 03:30
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:29
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:29
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:29
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:29
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:30
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:30
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:29
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:29
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:29
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:29
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:30
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:30
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.29%E -3.25%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 07:40
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 06:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 06:40
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 06:39
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 06:29
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 06:49
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.03%E -4.40%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 06:50
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 06:50
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.57%E -2.95%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 03:30
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.57%E -2.95%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 03:30
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.42%EV -6.99%E -3.15%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 07:29
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 07:40
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 07:39
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 07:39
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 07:39
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:30
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 03:29
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 07:39
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 02:38
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 03:29
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.03%E -4.40%K -11.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-23 03:29
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.03%E -4.40%K -11.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-23 06:49
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.92%E -4.62%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.92%E -4.62%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 02:39
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.92%E -4.62%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-23 07:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.92%E -4.62%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-23 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.92%E -4.62%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-23 02:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-06-23 07:20
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-06-23 07:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-06-23 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-06-23 07:20
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-06-23 07:40
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.8%2026-06-23 07:40