Language:English
Soonwoo Kwon v Tommy Paul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Soonwoo Kwon (Local)
Prediction 14.67%6.82fair odd
EV +2.68%
Edge +0.382%
Kelly +0.446%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%14.86%14.57%17.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.306.257.0018.18%15.86%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tommy Paul (Visit)
Prediction 85.33%1.17fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -19.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.83%85.14%85.43%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.121.121.1491.74%89.64%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Soonwoo Kwon (Local): 14.67%; Tommy Paul (Visit): 85.33%. For Soonwoo Kwon (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.82. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +2.68%E +0.382%K +0.446%G +0.012% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +2.68%E +0.382%K +0.446%G +0.012% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.68%E +0.382%K +0.446%G +0.012% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV +1.94%E +0.280%K +0.327%G +0.006% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.88I 14.53%NM 14.11%EV +0.917%E +0.133%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.89%EV -3.58%E -3.16%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.81I 14.68%NM 14.12%EV -0.110%E -0.016%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.88%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.256%E -0.038%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 08:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.256%E -0.038%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 08:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -1.72%E -0.257%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -1.72%E -0.257%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 08:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.19%E -0.483%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -3.19%E -0.483%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 09:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -4.07%E -0.622%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 09:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 09:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 08:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 06:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 06:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 08:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 07:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 21:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -5.39%E -0.836%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.12%E -0.957%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.99%E -6.41%K -77.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -7.15%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 21:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 21:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 21:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:58 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 21:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 08:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.29%EV -9.79%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.71%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.44%EV -10.82%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.56%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 20:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.72%E -2.39%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 07:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.58%E -3.16%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 06:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.58%E -3.16%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 06:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.58%E -3.16%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 06:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 06:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 06:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 06:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.99%E -6.41%K -77.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 20:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.99%E -6.41%K -77.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.99%E -6.41%K -77.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 21:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.02%EV -13.90%E -2.37%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -19.32%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.72%E -2.39%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 09:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -19.32%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.58%E -3.16%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 09:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.32%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 20:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 0.2% | 2026-07-01 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 1.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 1.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 1.0% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.19% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.81% | 1.1% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35% | 1.3% | 2026-07-01 09:19 |
| Novig◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.44% | 3.3% | 2026-07-01 10:00 |