L’École des cotes

Soonwoo Kwon v Tommy Paul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 10:14 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Soonwoo Kwon (Local)

Prévision 14.67%6.82cote équitable
EV +2.68%
Avantage +0.382%
Kelly +0.446%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.58%14.86%14.57%17.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.306.257.0018.18%15.86%16.00%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tommy Paul (Visiteur)

Prévision 85.33%1.17cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -2.39%
Kelly -19.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.83%85.14%85.43%86.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.121.121.1491.74%89.64%89.29%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +2.68%E +0.382%K +0.446%G +0.012%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +2.68%E +0.382%K +0.446%G +0.012%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 10:00
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.68%E +0.382%K +0.446%G +0.012%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 15:10
BetAnything6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV +1.94%E +0.280%K +0.327%G +0.006%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:29
Pinnacle6.88I 14.53%NM 14.11%EV +0.917%E +0.133%K +0.156%G +0.001%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.89%EV -3.58%E -3.16%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-01 10:00
DraftKings6.81I 14.68%NM 14.12%EV -0.110%E -0.016%K -0.019%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.88%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Codere (IT)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.256%E -0.038%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 08:59
ReBet6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.256%E -0.038%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 08:59
SportsBet6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -1.72%E -0.257%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 08:09
FanDuel6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -1.72%E -0.257%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 08:10
Fanatics6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.19%E -0.483%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 09:00
Betclic (FR)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -3.19%E -0.483%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 09:59
1xBet6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -4.07%E -0.622%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 09:50
MyBookie.ag6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 09:08
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 08:48
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 06:39
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 06:40
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 10:00
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 08:50
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 08:49
Unibet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 07:59
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 21:29
Caesars6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.66%E -0.716%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 22:50
theScore Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -5.39%E -0.836%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:00
NetBet (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.12%E -0.957%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.99%E -6.41%K -77.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 09:50
Betsson6.33I 15.80%NM 14.80%EV -7.15%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:00
Grosvenor6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 21:00
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:59
Casumo6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 21:00
BetRivers6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 09:19
Unibet (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:59
Unibet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 21:00
Unibet (NL)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:59
TABtouch6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 21:00
Bally Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:58
ATG (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 21:00
betPARX6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:58
Svenska Spel6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 21:00
Hard Rock Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:59
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 08:49
PointsBet (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.32%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 08:50
Fliff6.15I 16.26%NM 15.29%EV -9.79%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.71%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 10:00
GTbets6.08I 16.45%NM 15.44%EV -10.82%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.56%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 20:39
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.72%E -2.39%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 07:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.58%E -3.16%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 06:39
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.58%E -3.16%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 06:29
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.58%E -3.16%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 06:29
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 06:30
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 06:29
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 06:29
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 06:59
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
PMU (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.99%E -6.41%K -77.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 20:59
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.99%E -6.41%K -77.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 21:00
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.99%E -6.41%K -77.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 21:00
NordicBet5.87I 17.04%NM 16.02%EV -13.90%E -2.37%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 09:50
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -19.32%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.72%E -2.39%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 09:19
Dabble (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -19.32%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.58%E -3.16%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 09:50
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.32%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 20:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%0.2%2026-07-01 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Matchbook8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-07-01 10:00
ProphetX7.50I 13.33%NM 13.19%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.81%1.1%2026-07-01 10:00
Smarkets7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%1.3%2026-07-01 09:19
Novig7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.44%3.3%2026-07-01 10:00