Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jesper De Jong v Rinky Hijikata

Início: 2026-06-29 17:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jesper De Jong (Local)

Previsão 29.01%3.45odd justa
EV +5.60%
Vantagem +1.54%
Kelly +2.12%
Crescimento +0.119%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.91%29.07%29.04%30.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.093.263.253.6432.36%30.68%30.77%27.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rinky Hijikata (Visitante)

Previsão 70.99%1.41odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -1.47%
Kelly -5.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.28%70.93%70.96%73.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.341.341.3876.92%74.78%74.63%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jesper De Jong (Local): 29.01%; Rinky Hijikata (Visitante): 70.99%. Para Jesper De Jong (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.45. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.64, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.60%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.91%EV +5.60%E +1.54%K +2.12%G +0.119%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.09%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-29 17:20
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +1.54%E +0.439%K +0.615%G +0.009%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 17:20
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +1.54%E +0.439%K +0.615%G +0.009%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:20
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.54%E +0.439%K +0.615%G +0.009%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.00%E -5.35%K -22.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 17:20
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.54%E +0.439%K +0.615%G +0.009%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.087%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 17:20
ReBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.087%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 17:19
Pinnacle🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -0.203%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 17:20
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.36%E -0.401%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 17:21
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.36%E -0.401%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.36%E -0.401%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:19
BetAnything🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:20
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:20
Caesars🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.00%E -5.35%K -22.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:20
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.00%E -5.35%K -22.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 17:21
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:21
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:19
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Fliff🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 17:20
GTbets🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -6.59%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.00%E -5.35%K -22.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:20
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:20
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.62%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.62%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 17:21
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:21
Dabble (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 17:18
DraftKings🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -10.36%E -3.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-29 17:21
ProphetX3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07%2.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%3.8%2026-06-29 17:20