La escuela de los momios

Jesper De Jong v Rinky Hijikata

Inicio: 2026-06-29 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jesper De Jong (Local)

Predicción 29.01%3.45momio equitativo
EV +5.60%
Ventaja +1.54%
Kelly +2.12%
Crecimiento +0.119%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.91%29.07%29.04%30.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.093.263.253.6432.36%30.68%30.77%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rinky Hijikata (Visitante)

Predicción 70.99%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -5.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.28%70.93%70.96%73.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.341.341.3876.92%74.78%74.63%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet3.64I 27.47%NM 26.91%EV +5.60%E +1.54%K +2.12%G +0.119%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.09%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-29 17:20
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +1.54%E +0.439%K +0.615%G +0.009%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 17:20
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +1.54%E +0.439%K +0.615%G +0.009%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:20
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.54%E +0.439%K +0.615%G +0.009%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.00%E -5.35%K -22.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 17:20
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.54%E +0.439%K +0.615%G +0.009%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:20
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.087%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 17:20
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.087%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 17:19
Pinnacle3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -0.203%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 17:20
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.36%E -0.401%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 17:21
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.36%E -0.401%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.36%E -0.401%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:19
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:20
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:20
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:20
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:20
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.00%E -5.35%K -22.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:20
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.00%E -5.35%K -22.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:20
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 17:21
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:21
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:18
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:19
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Hard Rock Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 17:20
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -6.59%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.00%E -5.35%K -22.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:20
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:20
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:20
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:20
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:20
MyBookie.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.62%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.62%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 17:21
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:21
Dabble (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 17:18
DraftKings3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -10.36%E -3.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-29 17:21
ProphetX3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07%2.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%3.8%2026-06-29 17:20