مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jesper De Jong v Rinky Hijikata

البداية: 2026-06-29 17:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jesper De Jong (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.01%3.45السعر العادل
EV +5.60%
الأفضلية +1.54%
Kelly +2.12%
النمو +0.119%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.91%29.07%29.04%30.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.093.263.253.6432.36%30.68%30.77%27.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Rinky Hijikata (الضيف)

التنبؤ 70.99%1.41السعر العادل
EV -2.03%
الأفضلية -1.47%
Kelly -5.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.28%70.93%70.96%73.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.341.341.3876.92%74.78%74.63%72.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.64I 27.47%NM 26.91%EV +5.60%E +1.54%K +2.12%G +0.119%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.09%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-29 17:20
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +1.54%E +0.439%K +0.615%G +0.009%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 17:20
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +1.54%E +0.439%K +0.615%G +0.009%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:20
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.54%E +0.439%K +0.615%G +0.009%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.00%E -5.35%K -22.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 17:20
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.54%E +0.439%K +0.615%G +0.009%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:20
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.087%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 17:20
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.087%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 17:19
Pinnacle3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -0.203%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 17:20
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.36%E -0.401%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 17:21
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.36%E -0.401%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.36%E -0.401%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:19
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:20
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:20
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:20
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:20
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.00%E -5.35%K -22.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:20
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.00%E -5.35%K -22.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 17:20
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 17:21
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:21
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:18
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:19
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Hard Rock Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 17:20
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -6.59%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.00%E -5.35%K -22.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:20
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:20
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:20
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:20
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:20
MyBookie.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.62%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.62%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 17:21
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:21
Dabble (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 17:18
DraftKings3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -10.36%E -3.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-29 17:21
ProphetX3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-06-29 17:20
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07%2.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%3.8%2026-06-29 17:20