Language:English
Jannik Sinner v Miomir Kecmanovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jannik Sinner (Local)
Prediction 94.94%1.05fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -31.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.51%94.86%95.37%96.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.04100.00%98.78%99.01%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit)
Prediction 5.06%19.76fair odd
EV +54.08%
Edge +1.78%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.993%
assuming max odds 30.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.21%5.14%4.63%8.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0019.7321.0030.459.09%5.07%4.76%3.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jannik Sinner (Local): 94.94%; Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit): 5.06%. For Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 19.76. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 30.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +54.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.79%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 30.45I 3.28%NM 3.21%EV +54.08%E +1.78%K +1.84%G +0.993% | 2.3% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +31.57%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.399% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 12:31 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +31.57%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.399% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 12:28 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +31.57%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.399% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +31.57%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.399% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +31.57%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.399% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%EV -3.16%E -3.10%K -158.07%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%EV +26.51%E +1.06%K +1.10%G +0.293% | 2.0% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +26.51%E +1.06%K +1.10%G +0.293% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 12:31 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.90%EV -3.16%E -3.10%K -158.07%G +0.000% | 23.87I 4.19%NM 4.10%EV +20.79%E +0.871%K +0.909%G +0.189% | 2.2% | 2026-06-29 12:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +16.39%E +0.712%K +0.745%G +0.122% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +16.39%E +0.712%K +0.745%G +0.122% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +11.32%E +0.515%K +0.539%G +0.061% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.16%E -3.10%K -158.07%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 12:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 12:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 12:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.06%E -5.06%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 12:16 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +1.20%E +0.060%K +0.063%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.16%E -3.10%K -158.07%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -3.86%E -0.203%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.16%E -3.10%K -158.07%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -3.86%E -0.203%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-29 12:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.86%E -0.203%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.86%E -0.203%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 12:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.52%EV -5.06%E -5.06%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 17.25I 5.80%NM 5.48%EV -12.71%E -0.737%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.98%E -0.822%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -24.10%E -1.61%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -24.10%E -1.61%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 12:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -24.10%E -1.61%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 12:31 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -24.10%E -1.61%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 12:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -24.10%E -1.61%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -24.10%E -1.61%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -26.63%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -27.89%E -1.96%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -1.26%E -1.21%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -34.22%E -2.63%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -2.21%E -2.15%K -73.73%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -34.22%E -2.63%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -34.22%E -2.63%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.16%E -3.10%K -158.07%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -44.34%E -4.03%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 12:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 12:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.0% | 2026-06-29 12:31 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.91% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09% | 1.2% | 2026-06-29 12:31 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.71% | 30.03I 3.33%NM 3.29% | 1.4% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.59% | 28.57I 3.50%NM 3.41% | 2.5% | 2026-06-29 12:30 |