La scuola delle quote

Jannik Sinner v Miomir Kecmanovic

Inizio: 2026-06-29 12:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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39 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Casa)

Previsione 94.94%1.05quota equa
EV -1.26%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -31.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
91.51%94.86%95.37%96.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.011.011.04100.00%98.78%99.01%96.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miomir Kecmanovic (Trasferta)

Previsione 5.06%19.76quota equa
EV +54.08%
Vantaggio +1.78%
Kelly +1.84%
Crescita +0.993%

ipotizzando la quota massima 30.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
3.21%5.14%4.63%8.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
11.0019.7321.0030.459.09%5.07%4.76%3.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (39 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetAnything1.01I 99.01%NM 96.79%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%30.45I 3.28%NM 3.21%EV +54.08%E +1.78%K +1.84%G +0.993%2.3%2026-06-29 12:30
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +31.57%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.399%2.9%2026-06-29 12:31
1xBet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +31.57%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.399%2.9%2026-06-29 12:28
Sky Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +31.57%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.399%2.9%2026-06-29 12:30
William Hill1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +31.57%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.399%2.9%2026-06-29 12:30
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +31.57%E +1.21%K +1.26%G +0.399%2.9%2026-06-29 12:30
DraftKings1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%EV -3.16%E -3.10%K -158.07%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%EV +26.51%E +1.06%K +1.10%G +0.293%2.0%2026-06-29 12:30
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +26.51%E +1.06%K +1.10%G +0.293%3.0%2026-06-29 12:31
Pinnacle1.02I 98.04%NM 95.90%EV -3.16%E -3.10%K -158.07%G +0.000%23.87I 4.19%NM 4.10%EV +20.79%E +0.871%K +0.909%G +0.189%2.2%2026-06-29 12:31
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +16.39%E +0.712%K +0.745%G +0.122%3.4%2026-06-29 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +16.39%E +0.712%K +0.745%G +0.122%3.4%2026-06-29 12:30
Bovada1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +11.32%E +0.515%K +0.539%G +0.061%3.6%2026-06-29 12:30
BoyleSports1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.16%E -3.10%K -158.07%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020%2.8%2026-06-29 12:30
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020%3.8%2026-06-29 12:28
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020%3.8%2026-06-29 12:30
betfred_uk1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020%3.8%2026-06-29 12:29
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020%3.8%2026-06-29 12:30
Codere (IT)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020%3.8%2026-06-29 12:30
ReBet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020%3.8%2026-06-29 12:29
NetBet (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.06%E -5.06%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.26%E +0.298%K +0.313%G +0.020%4.8%2026-06-29 12:16
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +1.20%E +0.060%K +0.063%G +0.001%4.0%2026-06-29 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.16%E -3.10%K -158.07%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -3.86%E -0.203%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 12:30
Coral1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.16%E -3.10%K -158.07%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -3.86%E -0.203%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 12:31
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.86%E -0.203%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 12:30
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.86%E -0.203%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 12:31
Marathon Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 94.52%EV -5.06%E -5.06%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.25I 5.80%NM 5.48%EV -12.71%E -0.737%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:29
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.98%E -0.822%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -24.10%E -1.61%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 12:30
Everygame1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -24.10%E -1.61%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 12:29
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -24.10%E -1.61%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 12:31
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -24.10%E -1.61%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 12:29
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -24.10%E -1.61%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 12:30
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -24.10%E -1.61%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 12:30
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -26.63%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:30
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -27.89%E -1.96%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:30
PlayUp1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -1.26%E -1.21%K -31.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -34.22%E -2.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 12:30
Dabble (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -2.21%E -2.15%K -73.73%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -34.22%E -2.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 12:30
Fanatics1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.11%E -4.07%K -411.08%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -34.22%E -2.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 12:30
TAB1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.16%E -3.10%K -158.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -44.34%E -4.03%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 12:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-06-29 12:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-06-29 12:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-06-29 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-06-29 12:31
ProphetX1.02I 98.04%NM 96.91%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%1.2%2026-06-29 12:31
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 96.71%30.03I 3.33%NM 3.29%1.4%2026-06-29 12:30
Novig1.01I 99.01%NM 96.59%28.57I 3.50%NM 3.41%2.5%2026-06-29 12:30