La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Novak Djokovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Predicción 43.27%2.31momio equitativo
EV +6.00%
Ventaja +2.45%
Kelly +4.14%
Crecimiento +0.249%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%43.26%43.38%47.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.182.162.4551.28%45.83%46.30%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Novak Djokovic (Visitante)
Predicción 56.73%1.76momio equitativo
EV +2.12%
Ventaja +1.18%
Kelly +2.65%
Crecimiento +0.056%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.56%56.74%56.62%62.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.671.651.8066.67%59.95%60.42%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.00%E +2.45%K +4.14%G +0.249% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -14.90%E -9.93%K -29.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.00%E +2.45%K +4.14%G +0.249% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -14.90%E -9.93%K -29.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-07 16:28 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-07 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| ReBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +3.84%E +1.60%K +2.74%G +0.105% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -13.20%E -8.63%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-07 16:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV +1.68%E +0.714%K +1.24%G +0.021% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-07 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV +1.68%E +0.714%K +1.24%G +0.021% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-07 16:19 |
| BetAnything | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.68%E +0.714%K +1.24%G +0.021% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.66%E -5.38%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV +0.380%E +0.164%K +0.288%G +0.001% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -10.36%E -6.56%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 16:19 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.96%E -4.24%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-07 16:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 16:35 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 16:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-07 16:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -0.486%E -0.211%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -10.36%E -6.56%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-07 16:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -0.918%E -0.401%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -6.96%E -4.24%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 16:33 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.65%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.82%E -3.51%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 16:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.65%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 16:19 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.65%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.65%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 16:19 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.65%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 16:34 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.65%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.93%E -6.96%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.39%E -3.87%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-07 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.66%E -5.38%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.54%E -3.03%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.55%E -2.09%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.54%E -3.03%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.55%E -2.09%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.98%E -3.24%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.55%E -2.09%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.98%E -3.24%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.12%E -2.44%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -7.84%E -3.68%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -1.85%E -1.07%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -0.718%E -0.410%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -10.00%E -4.81%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -2.42%E -1.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.00%E -4.81%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.55%E -2.09%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -10.44%E -5.04%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.718%E -0.410%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.39%E -3.87%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.39%E -3.87%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.73%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.984%E +0.553%K +1.26%G +0.012% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.73%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.984%E +0.553%K +1.26%G +0.012% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.73%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.984%E +0.553%K +1.26%G +0.012% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| betPARX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.73%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.984%E +0.553%K +1.26%G +0.012% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.73%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.984%E +0.553%K +1.26%G +0.012% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -12.60%E -6.24%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +2.12%E +1.18%K +2.65%G +0.056% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -12.60%E -6.24%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV +0.417%E +0.236%K +0.542%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -12.60%E -6.24%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV +0.417%E +0.236%K +0.542%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.47%E -6.73%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +2.12%E +1.18%K +2.65%G +0.056% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.47%E -6.73%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -0.718%E -0.410%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.47%E -6.73%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -0.718%E -0.410%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.47%E -6.73%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -0.718%E -0.410%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Bally Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -13.47%E -6.73%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -0.718%E -0.410%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -13.47%E -6.73%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -4.69%E -2.79%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -14.33%E -7.24%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -6.96%E -4.24%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -15.20%E -7.75%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -1.85%E -1.07%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -15.63%E -8.01%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -0.150%E -0.085%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-07-07 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14% | 1.8% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| ProphetX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94% | 2.4% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |
| Novig | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41% | 8.2% | 2026-07-07 16:40 |